The deformation prediction of the chamber roof is crucial in underground mining. Combined with Flac3D numerical simulation, the experimental design methodologies, including single-factor test (SFT), Plackett-Burman design (PBD), steepest ascent design (SAD), and response surface methodology (RSM), were used to evaluate the effect of multiple variables on the chamber roof deformation. Firstly, eight factors that affected the vertical displacement (D s ) of the chamber roof were selected, and the sensitive interval of every factor was obtained through SFT. Then, four factors that signi cantly affect the results were screened by PBD: cohesion (C o ), stope length (L s ), stope width (W s ), and internal friction angle (f r ). 29 groups of response surface schemes with 4 factors and 3 levels satisfying the Box-Behnken design (BBD) were simulated. Through the result analysis of variance (ANOVA) and sensitivity, the in uence order of each factor on D s can be determined: W s >L s >f r > C o >interaction between C o and f r > interaction between L s and W s . Finally, using the prediction model, the roof deformation of 0#N stope of a lead-zinc mine was predicted and the error was analyzed. The relative errors between the prediction value and the numerical simulation value, the measured value are 0.7% and 4.3%, respectively, which indicates that the prediction model is reasonable and has a certain reference value for mine safety.
HighlightsAn assessment has been made on the effect of orebody properties, orebody dip angle, and stope structure parameters on chamber roof deformation.Four factors that had a signi cant impact on the chamber roof deformation were screened out through Plackett-Burman design.A quadratic polynomial prediction model was set up through response surface methodology. The individual and interactive effects of four factors on displacement have determined signi cant.