A lthough depression is a recognized outcome of stroke, 1 most studies investigating depression after stroke have limitations, including selection bias, short follow-up, and small sample size. 2,3 The prevalence of depression in the first few years after stroke has been reported in several studies. 2 Nonetheless, evidence is poor or lacking on other estimates of the long-term natural history of depression, such as the poststroke incidence, cumulative incidence, time of onset, duration, and recurrence rate.2 Interventions for depression after stroke only show limited effect. Whether these interventions had been started at the right time after stroke and given for an adequate length of time to obtain maximal sustained response has been questioned. 4 In this article, the poststroke incidence, cumulative incidence, prevalence, time of onset, duration, and recurrence rate of depression up to 15 years after stroke are estimated in a population-based study.
MethodsFirst in a lifetime stroke patients were recruited from the South London Stroke Register (SLSR), a prospective population-based stroke register covering an inner-city population of 271 817. 5 Data from patients, registered in the SLSR between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 2009, and followed up between April 1, 1995 (first 3 months of follow-up assessments), and August 31, 2010, were used (patients at registration, N=4022).Patients were registered during the acute phase of stroke and were then followed up for 3 months after stroke, 1 year after stroke, and annually thereafter. The World Health Organization definition of stroke was used.6 Follow-up was by postal questionnaire or interview, depending on the capacity of patient to fill in the questionnaire. Such capacity was judged by the patient, the next of kin, or the field worker in a preceding follow-up assessment. Patients unable to complete the follow-up questionnaire, and those not returning them by post, were telephoned to arrange face-to-face interviews or have another follow-up questionnaire posted. Patients who could not be followed up at one time point remained registered and were contacted again for the following annual assessment. At follow-up, patients were Background and Purpose-Evidence on the natural history of depression after stroke is still insufficient to inform prognosis and treatment strategies. This study estimates the incidence, cumulative incidence, prevalence, time of onset, duration, and recurrence rate of depression up to 15 years after stroke. Methods-Data from patients registered in the South London Stroke Register between 1995 and 2009 were used (N=4022 at registration. Maximum number of participants for these analyses n=1233). Depression was assessed in all patients with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (scores >7=depression) 3 months after stroke, 1 year after stroke, and annually thereafter up to 15 years after stroke. Inverse probability weighting was used to calculate the estimates accounting for missing data. Results-The poststroke incidence of depression range...