Design of the Insurance Contract Based on the Weather Indices of Chilling Injury in Litchi and Demonstration Application

Wang, Chunyi; Zhang, Jinghong; Zhang, Yajie; Huang, Haijing; Che, Xiufen

doi:10.2991/rac-16.2016.92

Cited by 1 publication

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“…Based on a rainstorm in Shandong Province, Zhang et al [10] found that the blown-up chart has obvious indicative information on not only the occurrence time of the rainstorm, but also the maintenance time. In China's other provinces, such as Guangdong [11], Xinjiang [12], Sichuan [13], Yunnan [14], Gansu [15], Beijing, and Tianjin [16], scholars and meteorological station staffs have studied the application of the blown-up theory for rainstorm forecasting. In addition to the prediction of rainstorms, it has been proven that the blown-up theory also has certain prediction ability for other catastrophic weather systems.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecast and Analysis of a Rainstorm Case in East China Based on the Blown-Up Theory

Song,

Xu,

Shen

et al. 2023

Atmosphere

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Practical application has shown that the blown-up theory has great predictive ability for predicting transitional weather systems, especially catastrophic weather systems. This study applies the blown-up theory to analyze and predict a rainstorm case in Jiangsu Province of East China to explore the applicability of the blown-up theory. At the same time, a numerical simulation experiment is conducted using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) v4.2. The numerical results are compared with the European Center for Medium Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) data and the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS) products. It is found that there is a deviation in the simulation for the precipitation center, and further analysis indicates that it is likely related to the position of the simulated low-level shear line. On the other hand, the blown-up analyses are consistent with the actual situation and provide additional information besides the numerical simulation results. These results indicate that the blown-up charts and V-3θ diagrams are able to predict the weather system transformation, the rainfall area, and the evolution of the rainstorm, which confirms the applicability of the blown-up theory to rainstorm forecasts. This provides an auxiliary analysis method in addition to numerical simulations for rainstorm forecasts.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecast and Analysis of a Rainstorm Case in East China Based on the Blown-Up Theory

Song,

Xu,

Shen

et al. 2023

Atmosphere

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Design of the Insurance Contract Based on the Weather Indices of Chilling Injury in Litchi and Demonstration Application

Abstract: Chilling injuries severely affect and restrict the litchi production in Hainan. Accordingly, the studies on the design of insurance contracts based on the weather indices and will be of great significance for transferring disaster risks, reducing the losses of planters. Using the data of

Cited by 1 publication

References 1 publication

Forecast and Analysis of a Rainstorm Case in East China Based on the Blown-Up Theory

Forecast and Analysis of a Rainstorm Case in East China Based on the Blown-Up Theory

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