Detection of Validity-Related Faults in the Modern Electoral Studies

Чернозуб, Олег Леонидович

doi:10.14515/monitoring.2017.5.03

Cited by 2 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…Comparing research results of other authors [2,5] and our results, we can say that our research does not contradict modern studies of authors on this and similar subjects, but complements the research of connection of social and psychological attitude and value orientations of transport company employees. Chernozub L.S., presenting a two-component model of behavioral factors, notes the importance of motivational and demand sphere in determining and understanding the behavior of an individual, which does not contradict the results of our study and complements the two-component model.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 87%

“…The importance of this attitude is demonstrated by the large body of research on the subject. There is a relationship between job satisfaction and organisational commitment, because the things that make employees happy at work often make them more loyal to the company (5).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…What is it that contributes to developing loyalty to a company? Many studies show that employees pay attention to several aspects of their work environment, including management relations, co-worker relations and actual work [5].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Survey of transport company employees' mindsets and values

Shukshina

Shukshina²,

Taysaeva³

et al. 2023

E3S Web of Conf.

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This paper presents a study of the attitudes and values of employees in transport companies. The relevance of the study stems from the fact that the attitudes and values of employees affect the performance of the organisation in the same way as professional skills and often organisations do not find it necessary to pay attention to this, reducing the manager's job to identifying competencies. It is important for internal management to know the motivations and values of employees, because they are often transferred to colleagues and customers. The following methods were used in the research: diagnostics of socio-psychological orientations of personality in motivational and demand sphere by O. F. Potemkina, diagnostics of values - Schwarz questionnaire, peculiarities of internal marketing were studied by R. Mowday, R. Stiers, and L. Porter's method of personnel loyalty measurement. Sociopsychological attitudes have been shown to correlate with the values of transport company employees with different length of service. It was found that there is a significant direct correlation between the indicators "result" and "universalism", "work" and "achievement", "work", and "independence" for employees of the transport company with 15 to 20 years of work experience. For employees whose length of service varies from 5 to 15 years, there is a positive correlation between the indicators "process" and "independence", "work" and "stimulation", "money" and "independence". The study will make it possible to determine company development strategies through human resources, taking into account the length of service. This is necessary to optimise the performance of the entire transport company.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 87%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Survey of transport company employees' mindsets and values

Shukshina

Shukshina²,

Taysaeva³

et al. 2023

E3S Web of Conf.

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“…The validity criteria are actual results of voting for three most popular candidates; intention inflation gap -1 month; the object of prediction -group behavior. (7) Аннотация. Обобщение большого количества накопленных к настоящему моменту данных показало, что имплицитные измерения социальной установки (предлагается даже заменить их название на менее претенциозное -«косвенные») показывают разочаровывающе слабый прогностический потенциал по отношению к реальному поведению.…”

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Do indirect measures of attitudes improve our predictions of behavior? Evaluating and explaining the predictive validity of GATA

Chernozub

2024

Vestnik Rossijskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Serija Sociol

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The generalization of the results accumulated to date has shown that the implicit measures of attitudes (some even suggest defining them with a less pretentious term “indirect”) show a disappointingly weak predictive potential in relation to real behavior. Thus, the predictive validity of the Graphical Association Test of Attitude (GATA), which also claims to be an indirect method, has been questioned. To check this assumption, we analyzed the results obtained with GATA in 64 predictions provided that the predicted outcome could be verified by real action. Such forecasts cover the domains of electoral, consumer and communicative behavior. In some cases, the prediction based on the data from a representative sample was checked referring to the actual behavior of the group represented by the sample, e.g., the electorate, or the consumers of a certain category of goods, etc. In other cases, the accuracy of the forecast was checked for each respondent. This allows to avoid the effect of “mutual compensation” of erroneous forecasts with opposite valence. The test method consisted of a comparison of the prediction accuracy of pairs of “control” and “experimental” prediction models: the only difference identified was that the latter used the data from indirect measurements of GATA as an additional factor of action. In the article, all models are presented in their simplest and most transparent versions. The results of the conducted meta-analysis do not fully correspond to the general trend: the use of the GATA data significantly and continuously improves the accuracy of predicting behavior. In addition, the incremental effect on the accuracy of individual forecasts (for each respondent) turned out to be higher than that of the sample-based group forecasts.

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Detection of Validity-Related Faults in the Modern Electoral Studies

Cited by 2 publications

References 16 publications

Survey of transport company employees' mindsets and values

Survey of transport company employees' mindsets and values

Do indirect measures of attitudes improve our predictions of behavior? Evaluating and explaining the predictive validity of GATA

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