Determinants of Migration Following the EU Enlargement: A Panel Data Analysis

Franc, Sanja; Časni, Anita Čeh; Barišić, Antea

doi:10.2478/jeb-2019-0010

Cited by 19 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 34 publications

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“…First, an overvalued exchange rate in the host country is positively correlated with migration, not negatively. Second, the sign of the income variable switches so that poorer EE countries send fewer emigrants out, not more, and this result is consistent with that of Franc, Časni, and Barišić (2019). Neither autocracy nor conflict in the origin country appears to matter for this subsample.…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 71%

“…He develops a model of migration choice that predicts a higher emigration rate in response to a higher mean income in the host country, a lower mean income in the origin country, a lower cost of migration, and a greater reward in the host country for the migrant's specific demographic characteristics. Franc, Časni, and Barišić (2019) studied the migration that resulted from the enlargement of the European Union, as citizens of Eastern Europe moved to Western Europe, and he framed migration as a result of both push and pull factors. He found that this migration rose from higher per-capita GDP in the host country, but also rose from higher income in the origin country.…”

Section: Conceptual Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Migration Patterns in Eastern Europe and the World: A Gravity Approach

Parker

2020

South East European Journal of Economics and Business

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AbstractThis study uses a UN dataset of foreign-born residents in and from 154 different countries, available every fifth year since 1990, to estimate an augmented gravity model for Eastern Europe and the world. Migration responds to higher incomes in the host country, though the effect diminishes with income. Unlike the rest of the world, East European migration increases with the exchange rate in the host and higher incomes in the origin, but not with political autocracy or conflict in the origin country. Controlling for these differences, Eastern Europe has fewer immigrants and emigrants than the model would otherwise predict.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 71%

Section: Conceptual Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Migration Patterns in Eastern Europe and the World: A Gravity Approach

Parker

2020

South East European Journal of Economics and Business

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“…Quite a few recent articles analyse the reasons and the effects of international emigration from the developing countries to the rich ones (Franc et al, 2019;Phyo et al, 2019;Ivlevs et al, 2019). However, just a few pieces of research investigate whether inequality within one country is a cause for emigration.…”

Section: Background: Income Inequality Subjective Well-being and Emmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Income Inequality on Emigration: Case of Lithuania and Other New Eu Member States

Laurinavičius

2020

Business, Management and Education

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Purpose – The objective of the article is to analyse how income inequality affects population decisions on emigration. Research methodology – Correlation and regression analysis are used to determine the relationship between the analysed social phenomena. Firstly, the correlation between income inequality (its change) and emigration rates is calculated. Secondly, the static and dynamic aspect is evaluated, as well as the influence of data delay (lag) on decision-making. Finally, a regression equation is constructed, showing how one variable affects the other. Findings – The analysis identifies the conditions and severity of population income inequality that may influence their emigration decisions. On the one hand, the impact is more substantial in the crisis and post-crisis period, and, on the other, in the new EU member states. Research limitations – Sensibility of emigration to different conditions like accessibility (i.e. the opportunity to emigrate freely, such as being a member of the Schengen area) and the income gap between countries of origin and destination is a major limitation of the article which should be examined more closely in later works. Practical implications – The analysis of emigration problem and the identification of its possible links with income inequality would allow economists to assess a priori potential of various measures suggested in practice and, consequently, would allow for the more targeted formulation of the State economic policy. Originality/Value – The novelty of the article is defined by insufficient scientific research of relationships between income inequality and emigration as socio-economic phenomena within the new EU member states. A scientific analysis of the problem of emigration and the identification of its possible links with income inequality would contribute to a more detailed study of the scientific aspects of emigration and income inequality.

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“…Another aspect is associated with youth migration. Some studies show that youngsters are more likely to immigrate to countries with growing GDP (Franc et al, 2019). This trend is a consequence of one of the fundamental EU principles -the free movement of persons.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Youth Unemployment in Europe – Business Cycles, Crises, and Policy Responses

Vutsova

Arabadzhieva

Yalamov

2021

PEB

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Purpose: The goal of the paper is to analyse in which countries’ youth unemployment is statistically pro or countercyclical and how crises in the last decade have affected it. What would the plausible explanations for diverging patterns within the EU and other European countries be? In what terms is the young people’s labour market across Europe imbalanced? Methodology: The paper builds on Gontkovicova et al.’s (2015) analysis of correlations between GDP growth and youth unemployment on an annual basis by adding more indicators and considering the quarterly basis as well. The quantitative approach is enriched by qualitative insights on Southeast European countries studied within the Erasmus+ YouthCap project (CRA, 2020). Findings: Most of the countercyclical youth unemployment trends in the last 20 years are observed in Eastern European countries (Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland and Slovenia). From Western European countries Iceland, Denmark and Portugal are countercyclical. The most resilient countries in terms of COVID-19 are North Macedonia, Serbia, Turkey and Iceland, which were able to reduce youth unemployment during the coronavirus crisis (Q3 in 2019 and 2020). Plausible policy reactions have been identified based on the concept of learning societies and the need for continuous education. Practical implications: The paper argues why localised policy responses could be more effective than a centralised solution. However, increased coordination and standardisation of secondary and higher education could lead to increased youth labour migration. Originality/value: The paper combines a more traditional quantitative approach to the most recent data series with the qualitative approach of identifying various micro-trends by looking at selected outlier countries.

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Determinants of Migration Following the EU Enlargement: A Panel Data Analysis

Cited by 19 publications

References 34 publications

Migration Patterns in Eastern Europe and the World: A Gravity Approach

Migration Patterns in Eastern Europe and the World: A Gravity Approach

Impact of Income Inequality on Emigration: Case of Lithuania and Other New Eu Member States

Youth Unemployment in Europe – Business Cycles, Crises, and Policy Responses

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