The paper examines the effect of democracy and globalization on private investment in Ghana for the period 1980-2012, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test for cointegration and the Error Correction Model (ECM). Two models are used. In Model 1, democracy is proxy by an index for institutional quality (Polity2) while Model 2 uses an index for civil liberties as proxy for democracy. The results for model 1 shows globalization and public investment increase private investment while exchange rate volatility and trade openness decrease private investment in both the long-and short-run. In addition, economic growth and interest rate reduce private investment in the short-run. In the case of model 2, credit to the private sector and public investment increase private investment while exchange rate volatility and trade openness decrease private investment in both the long-and short-run. Finally, economic growth and interest rate reduce private investment in the short-run. The findings and policy recommendations of the paper provide vital information for policy implementation in Ghana.Keywords: democracy, globalization, private investment, ARDL, ECM 1 Corresponding Author: Department of Economics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), Kumasi, Ghana, Email: sammyatom2007@yahoo.com Tel. +233 (0) 246 219421 2 Department of Economics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), Kumasi, Ghana, Email: akotol@ymail.com 3 Records and Archives Department, National Investment Bank (N.I.B.) Ltd., P.O. Box GP 3726, Accra. Email: feliciaacquah88@yahoo.com
IntroductionPrivate investment is considered the engine of economic growth (Frimpong and Marbuah, 2010). This is because the private sector is deemed relatively more efficient in allocating resources compared to the public sector. In addition, there is less wastage in the private sector. Also, due to constant monitoring and evaluation, productivity in the private sector is assured. Finally, competition arises from the desire to maximize profits which eventually leads to increased consumer welfare (see Nickell, 1996;Porter, 1998Porter, , 2000Rodrik, D, 2006). It is therefore not surprising that most notable industrializations in history have been led by the private sector (McDade and Spring, 2005).Private investment is mostly viewed to be determined by factors such as interest rates, exchange rate volatility, economic growth, public investment, inflation, trade openness, among others. Recently, however, democracy and globalization are becoming important determinants of private investment. Interestingly, it is easier to assume and argue a positive effect of democracy on private investment even though this is more likely to be a desired outcome which may differ from evidence provided by an empirical investigation of the relationship between democracy and private investment. However, the effect of globalization on private investment largely remains unclear as it can be positive or negative (see Mamman et al., 2009). It ...