The free trade agreement (FTA) between Indonesia and the EU is anticipated to
boost Indonesia?s economic growth, particularly in trade. However, from 2020
to 2022, EU countries issued 38 notifications concerning Indonesian exports,
primarily related to sanitary and phytosanitary measures, which are
non-tariff barriers in free trade. Indonesia has not benefited from the
positive trend in EU fishery commodity imports. This study addresses the
research gap on the efficiency and export potential of Indonesian fishery
products in the EU market. It aims to assess factors influencing trade flow,
export efficiency, and export potential of Indonesian fisheries to the EU
using the stochastic frontier gravity model (SFGM). The SFGM in the gravity
model determines the maximum potential trade level achievable in bilateral
trade. This research utilized panel data on Indonesian fishery exports to
the EU-27 countries from 2003 to 2021 (19 years). This study analyzed the HS
03 products-fish, crustaceans, mollusks, and other aquatic
invertebrates-exported from Indonesia to 25 EU countries. The results
indicated that the GDP of both exporting and importing countries,
competitiveness and the exchange rate of the rupiah against the US dollar
positively impacted fishery exports to the EU. Conversely, distance,
represented by trade costs, negatively impacted Indonesia?s fishery exports
in the EU. The findings showed Indonesia did not have a 100% efficiency
value. The highest market potential for Indonesia in the EU was in exporting
fishery products to France, Italy, Germany, Austria, and Spain.