Determining economically viable forest management option with consideration of ecosystem services in Korea: A strategy after successful national forestation

Lee, Jongyeol; Kim, Hyungsub; Song, Cholho; Kim, Gang Sun; Lee, Woo‐Kyun; Son, Yowhan

doi:10.1016/j.ecoser.2019.101053

Cited by 15 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 44 publications

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“…In addition, the actual natural (disease and insect pests, wind damage, landslide) and anthropogenic (forest fires, illegal activities, land cover change) disturbances that occur every year should be more considered to develop further forest modeling. In future research, it is necessary to find advanced strategies in conjunction with domestic dead organic matter, soil carbon pools and global forest management models reflecting the actual dynamic of forestland [ 16 , 52 , 91 , 92 ].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to the statistics of the Korea Forest Service, current annual forest tending area is approximately 130,000 ha, of which the legal final cut is approximately 15,000 ha and thinning is 30%, which is conducted twice a year [ 51 ]. Therefore, it was set to implement thinning for 20 and 40 years of age, and density management by 30% crown thinning in the selected rank in order of highest to lowest according to the stand volume among the age [ 52 ]. Based on the Korean policy about the cutting age, the cutting ages of red Pine, Korean pine, Japanese larch, cork oak, Mongolian oak, mixed forest A, mixed forest B were 60, 60, 50, 60, 60, 60 and 60 respectively [ 53 ].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The budget for cutting and reforestation, for each tree species, was thus calculated in grid form. The per grid costs of future forest management were calculated by reviewing the reforestation budgets currently implemented in the Republic of Korea [ 52 ] (Table 4 ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Application of integrated Korean forest growth dynamics model to meet NDC target by considering forest management scenarios and budget

Hong

Song²,

Kim³

et al. 2022

Carbon Balance Manage

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Background Forests are atmospheric carbon sinks, whose natural growth can contribute to climate change mitigation. However, they are also affected by climate change and various other phenomena, for example, the low growth of coniferous forests currently reported globally, including in the Republic of Korea. In response to the implementation of the Paris Agreement, the Korean government has proposed 2030 greenhouse gas roadmap to achieve a Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), and the forest sector set a sequestration target of 26 million tons by 2030. In this study, the Korean forest growth model (KO-G-Dynamic model) was used to analyze various climate change and forest management scenarios and their capacity to address the NDC targets. A 2050 climate change adaptation strategy is suggested based on forest growth and CO2 sequestration. Results Forest growth was predicted to gradually decline, and CO2 sequestration was predicted to reach 23 million tons per year in 2050 if current climate and conditions are maintained. According to the model, sequestrations of 33 million tCO2 year−1 in 2030 and 27 million tCO2 year−1 in 2050 can be achieved if ideal forest management is implemented. It was also estimated that the current forest management budget of 317 billion KRW (264 million USD) should be twice as large at 722 billion KRW (602 million USD) in the 2030s and 618 billion KRW (516 million USD) in the 2050s to achieve NDC targets. Conclusions The growth trend in Korea's forests transitions from young-matured stands to over-mature forests. The presented model-based forest management plans are an appropriate response and can increase the capacity of Korea to achieve its NDC targets. Such a modeling can help the forestry sector develop plans and policies for climate change adaptation.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Application of integrated Korean forest growth dynamics model to meet NDC target by considering forest management scenarios and budget

Hong

Song²,

Kim³

et al. 2022

Carbon Balance Manage

Self Cite

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show abstract

“…Diante disso, podemos analisar a relação dessas séries temporais (oferta, demanda e preço) utilizando-se técnicas econométricas, como o teste de causalidade de Granger (Coondoo e Dinda, (2002) ;Granger, (2004); Shi et al (2019); Zhao et al(2020)). Por outra via, Turner et al (2006), Dorioz et al (2019) e Lee et al (2020) mencionam que as variações de preços no mercado de madeira em tora permitem certo equilíbrio entre oferta, demanda e preço. Neste sentido, pode-se observar que quando o preço da madeira em tora aumenta, o número de pedidos tende a diminuir.…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

Identificação da relação de causa e efeito entre oferta, demanda e preço da madeira no Brasil: uma análise utilizando dados em painéis

Cavalheiro,

Pierre,

Da Silva

et al. 2024

CLCS

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Este artigo tem como objetivo identificar a existência da relação de causa e efeito entre preço, demanda e oferta de madeira no Brasil de 2004 a 2018, em que se utilizou o índice de Produção Física de Produtos de Madeira, para se determinar a demanda, a Quantidade de Madeira Produzida, para se analisar a oferta, e o Preço da Madeira. Para atingir o objetivo da pesquisa, realizaram-se os testes de raiz unitária, cointegração e Causalidade Granger. Observou-se que o preço e a demanda causam impacto de longo prazo sobre a oferta de madeira pelo estímulo ao aumento da área plantada. Em curto prazo o preço estimula a oferta de madeira por aumentar a área de floresta economicamente acessível, assim como estimula o corte antecipado de novas áreas plantadas. Por fim, observou-se que a oferta impacta na demanda em longo prazo devido ao ajuste nos preços da madeira. Tais resultados têm potencial de impacto no estabelecimento de políticas que auxiliam no processo de regulação e otimização do mercado madeireiro brasileiro.

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“…In addition, forest age classes are getting older, and many forest stands are reaching their cutting age. This means Korean forests require proper management and climate change predictions [15]. Forests are also important global carbon sinks [16].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modeling-Based Risks Assessment and Management of Climate Change in South Korean Forests

Hong

Song

Kim

et al. 2023

Forests

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The IPCC emphasizes the role of forests in the sequestration of greenhouse gases, a significant cause of climate change. Accordingly, it shows the importance of predicting changes in forests due to climate change, evaluating them to reduce vulnerability under adaptive capacity, and finding ways to find climate resilient development pathways. In this study, the KO-G-Dynamic model, a Korean growth model, was linked with the frameworks of AR5 and 6 to assess risk dynamics in the forest growth sector. At this time, the sensitivity is a variability due to the reduction in forest growth, the exposure is the forest as an object, the hazard is climate change, the adaptive capacity is forest management, and the vulnerability is a mechanism that sensitivity could not be adjusted according to adaptive capacity. The risk was assessed by ranking overall risks derived from the process of vulnerability generated by the interaction of the above factors. As a result, the current forests in Korea are age class imbalanced, and the effects of distribution are centered on fast-growing tree species. If climate change and overprotection continue, the vulnerable area expands as sensitivity increases, since the total growth reduces due to increasing over-matured forests. From the regional-based analysis, Gangwon-do and Gyeongsangnam-do mostly consist of the higher V age class, the ratio of ‘very high’ risk grade was high and the area of ‘high’ risk grade changed rapidly. However, after applying forest management scenarios of adaptive capacity such as harvesting, reforestation, and thinning based on Republic of Korea’s forest management policy, the ratio of ‘Low’ risk grades increased according to the reduction of vulnerability areas. Therefore, forest management can act as an important factor to reduce the risk of forest growth in response to climate change.

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Determining economically viable forest management option with consideration of ecosystem services in Korea: A strategy after successful national forestation

Cited by 15 publications

References 44 publications

Application of integrated Korean forest growth dynamics model to meet NDC target by considering forest management scenarios and budget

Application of integrated Korean forest growth dynamics model to meet NDC target by considering forest management scenarios and budget

Identificação da relação de causa e efeito entre oferta, demanda e preço da madeira no Brasil: uma análise utilizando dados em painéis

Modeling-Based Risks Assessment and Management of Climate Change in South Korean Forests

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