Developing metrics for emerging technologies: identification and assessment

Zamani, Mehdi; Yalçın, Haydar; Naeini, Ali Bonyadi; Zeba, Gordana; Daim, Tuğrul U.

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121456

Cited by 33 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 71 publications

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“…This study provides some interesting but preliminary results in these complex topics concerning the relation between scientific variability and the evolution of emerging scientific fields and technologies [58]. The idea presented in the study here is adequate in some cases but less in others because of the diversity of research fields and technologies, their intrinsic nature and propensity to interact with different complex systems in scientific, business and socioeconomic environments [143].…”

Section: Limitations and Future Researchmentioning

confidence: 88%

“…The idea of the study here is that the variability in scientific fields and related technologies can clarify sources and effects of scientific and technological change. Proposed theory of scientific variability here can allow scientists, technology analysts, R&D managers, and policymakers to make more accurate predictions of technological evolution to improve management of promising technologies and innovations [54][55][56][57][58]. Hence, this study suggests a general theory that analyzes and discusses why studying variability is important for understanding the dynamics of scientific development and technological evolution in order to detail challenges and opportunities in technological forecasting to improve innovation and technology management [54,56].…”

Section: Critique Of Current Theories In Technological Evolution: Inc...mentioning

confidence: 95%

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The General Theory of Scientific Variability for Technological Evolution

Coccia

2024

Sci

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The proposed general theory of scientific variability for technological evolution explains one of the drivers of technological change for economic progress in human society. Variability is the predisposition of the elements in systems to assume different values over time and space. In biology, the variability is basic to explaining differences and development in organisms. In economics of technical change, the effects of variability within research fields on evolutionary dynamics of related technologies are unknown. In a broad analogy with the principles of biology, suggested theoretical framework here can clarify a basic driver of technological evolution: the variability within research fields can explain the dynamics of scientific development and technological evolution. The study sees whether statistical evidence supports the hypothesis that the rate of growth of scientific and technological fields can be explained by the level of variability within scientific fields. The validation is based on emerging research fields in quantum technologies: quantum imaging, quantum meteorology, quantum sensing, and quantum optics. Statistical evidence seems in general to support the hypothesis stated that the rate of growth can be explained by the level of scientific variability within research fields, measured with the relative entropy (indicating the dispersion of scientific topics in a research field underlying a specific technology). Nonparametric correlation with Spearman’s rho shows a positive coefficient of 0.80 between entropy measures and rates of growth between scientific and technological fields. The linear model of the relation between rate of growth and scientific variability reveals a coefficient of regression equal to 1.63 (R2 = 0.60). The findings here suggest a general law that variability within research fields positively drives scientific development and technological evolution. In particular, a higher variability within research fields can support a high rate of growth in scientific development and technological evolution. The proposed general theory of scientific variability is especially relevant in turbulent environments of technology-based competition to clarify a basic determinant of technological development to design strategies of technological forecasting and management of promising innovations.

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Section: Limitations and Future Researchmentioning

confidence: 88%

Section: Critique Of Current Theories In Technological Evolution: Inc...mentioning

confidence: 95%

The General Theory of Scientific Variability for Technological Evolution

Coccia

2024

Sci

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…Meanwhile, Klavans et al [24] emphasized the significance of measuring relatedness 2 between bibliometric units, such as journals and keywords, for a comprehensive understanding of the structure and evolution of science. The insights gained from these studies have practical implications for R&D investments and innovation strategies, enabling organizations to gain a competitive advantage in dynamic markets [25,26]. Scientometric analysis has been extensively used to map ample research areas [27][28][29][30][31].…”

Section: Literature Surveymentioning

confidence: 99%

Analyzing the contribution of material science in quantum cryptography: A scientometric study

Sharma,

Gupta,

Sood

2023

Int J of Quantum Chemistry

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Quantum cryptography (QC) provides security to information through laws of nature, particularly quantum mechanics. The necessity of making QC a living reality has provided the impetus to advancement in material science, which led to many publications since 1996. Therefore, in this work, we analyze the articles in the Scopus database concerning the contribution of material science in the development of QC through scientometric methods. A total of 1395 articles published from 1996 to 2022 were retrieved from the Scopus database. Subsequently, these articles were analyzed to retrieve publication patterns, major collaborating nations, significant documents, recent trends, and future directions. A comprehensive introduction to QC is also included to facilitate a better grasp of this field for a wide range of readers. The findings of this study show that China is the leading nation in developing QC through material science, closely followed by the United States and India. Moreover, the study indicates significant areas of QC where extensive work is being done from the material science standpoint through keyword and significant document analysis. Hence, the outcomes of this article can be valuable for researchers, newcomers, technology managers, and policymakers interested in the future of QC.

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“…The idea of green has become a movement in all fields, and libraries are one of them. Now that libraries have adopted the green concept, it has had a huge effect on people [38]. The green philosophy has been discovered to have decreased the conception of oil, power, and is therefore environmentally friendly; however, it is not completely applicable to the industry, but it is on the increasing position.…”

Section: Green Librarymentioning

confidence: 99%

A Review on Emerging Trends and Technologies in Library

Nepali¹,

Tamang²

2022

AJIST

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Library service through mobile technology is a recent trend in library service. Mobile technology and its development have given rise to the excitement of faculty and student fraternity. This type of infrastructure needed by libraries to provide such services. The awareness about technologies like Mobile based services, Augmented Reality, Gamification, Internet of Things applications. The method opted for the study is descriptive and the tool used for collecting information is web survey. Literature related to emerging trends in libraries was collected from similar projects and other related articles from web. The project was started by analysing the technological developments in various libraries, kinds and new trends that emerged recently. Relevant data regarding the topic is also collected from scholarly publications and online databases to review the benefits, usage and the importance of emerging technology trends in libraries. This topic deals with new developments and techniques that are evolving in libraries. Some of the new trends are identified in this work. The limitation of the study is that, as many innovations are being introduced and also developed, only a selected number of technologies are included in the study.

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Developing metrics for emerging technologies: identification and assessment

Cited by 33 publications

References 71 publications

The General Theory of Scientific Variability for Technological Evolution

The General Theory of Scientific Variability for Technological Evolution

Analyzing the contribution of material science in quantum cryptography: A scientometric study

A Review on Emerging Trends and Technologies in Library

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