Development of a risk indicator score card for a large, flight training department

Development of a Safety Performance Decision-Making Tool for Flight Training Organizations

“…Monte Carlo simulation methodologies were used to build a safety decision-making tool based on SPIs determined by Anderson et al (2020) to represent flight risk within flight training organizations to evaluate predictive, what-if scenarios to evaluate how the variations to controllable input variables affect the risk score outputs indicating the level of risk posed to safe operating conditions. The study used the quantitative method to convert a non-statistical model into a safety decision-making tool, utilizing Monte Carlo simulation; this simulation will allow to run what-if scenarios to assess how modifications to the controllable input variables impact the level of operational risk within an organization's flight department.…”

“…The theoretical framework driving the research was founded upon a model developed by Anderson et al (2020); a sequential, mixed-method design study was conducted, including a qualitative data collection and analysis phase, followed by a quantitative data collection and analysis phase. Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) in maintenance and flight operations selected the appropriate Safety Performance Indicators (SPIs).…”

“…Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) in maintenance and flight operations selected the appropriate Safety Performance Indicators (SPIs). Once the appropriate SPIs had been selected, formulas were developed to quantify each selected SPI based on monthly operational data, see Anderson et al (2020). Expert elicitation was used to establish inter-rater reliability for the assessment of SMEs' evaluations.…”

“…The purpose of the research was to create and validate a safety performance decisionmaking tool to transform a non-statistical model composed of 12 SPIs determined by Anderson, Aguiar, Truong, Friend, Williams, and Dickson (2020) to be most indicative of flight risk-specific to flight schools, into a predictive, safety performance decision-making tool. The model uses whatif scenarios to evaluate how changing controllable input variables affect the level of operational risk within the system, portrayed within the model as the risk score outputs.…”

The Importance Of Integrated LOCA Between Adjacent Units in Aerodrome

“…The safety management system (SMS) is proposed to meet this demand from the perspective of system safety and risk management, which emphasizes the integrity and dynamics of the system to achieve dynamic feedback and prediction of system safety behavior. [6] Research literature on SMS has been dominated by two interleaved strands. The first strand has focused on how theoretical perspectives, such as accident-related models, and organizational models can provide guidance for elaborating and developing certain SMS aspects of complex systems in isolation from other organizational processes.…”