Development of AIM (Asia–Pacific Integrated Model) and its contribution to policy-making for the realization of decarbonized societies in Asia

Hibino, Go; Masui, Toshihiko

doi:10.1007/s11625-023-01393-2

Cited by 4 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 29 publications

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“…While IAMs, which link human and earth systems interactions, have been used sub-nationally in Malaysia to help inform emissions mitigation plans (Chau et al, 2021;Hibino and Masui, 2023), they have not yet been openly utilized for national decarbonization strategies or to assess city-national dynamics, and can be a useful tool to help Malaysia reach its climate goals. Integrated assessment modeling has been used for decades to help evaluate the future of climate change, including the use of the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM, described in section 2.2) (Edmonds and Reilly, 1986;Weyant et al, 1996;Calvin et al, 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Carbon neutrality in Malaysia and Kuala Lumpur: insights from stakeholder-driven integrated assessment modeling

Weber,

Pressburger,

Chau

et al. 2024

Front. Energy Res.

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Introduction: Several cities in Malaysia have established plans to reduce their CO2 emissions, in addition to Malaysia submitting a Nationally Determined Contribution to reduce its carbon intensity (against GDP) by 45% in 2030 compared to 2005. Meeting these emissions reduction goals will require a joint effort between governments, industries, and corporations at different scales and across sectors.Methods: In collaboration with national and sub-national stakeholders, we developed and used a global integrated assessment model to explore emissions mitigation pathways in Malaysia and Kuala Lumpur. Guided by current climate action plans, we created a suite of scenarios to reflect uncertainties in policy ambition, level of adoption, and implementation for reaching carbon neutrality. Through iterative engagement with all parties, we refined the scenarios and focus of the analysis to best meet the stakeholders’ needs.Results: We found that Malaysia can reduce its carbon intensity and reach carbon neutrality by 2050, and that action in Kuala Lumpur can play a significant role. Decarbonization of the power sector paired with extensive electrification, energy efficiency improvements in buildings, transportation, and industry, and the use of advanced technologies such as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage will be major drivers to mitigate emissions, with carbon dioxide removal strategies being key to eliminate residual emissions.Discussion: Our results suggest a hopeful future for Malaysia’s ability to meet its climate goals, recognizing that there may be technological, social, and financial challenges along the way. This study highlights the participatory process in which stakeholders contributed to the development of the model and guided the analysis, as well as insights into Malaysia’s decarbonization potential and the role of multilevel governance.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%