Development of Latvia Greenhouse Gas Reduction Policy: Modelling and Analysis

Klavs, G.

doi:10.5593/sgem2015/b41/s19.119

Cited by 2 publications

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“…The model integrates the end-use sectors and the supply side, holding descriptions of different energy sources and carriers that pass through the stages of energy system -transformation and distribution processes, energy end-use processes in all economic sectors, including a set of technological and energy efficiency options, as well as associated emissions. The approach of MARKAL Elastic Demand is used and a more detailed description of the Latvian model is given [4]. Alongside a very detailed description of the energy system, modelling of GHG emissions in other sectors (agriculture and waste management) and GHG abatement cost curves are presented.…”

Section: Modelling Methods and Assumptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Introduction of Energy and Climate Mitigation Policy Issues in Energy - Environment Model of Latvia

Klavs

Reķis

2016

Latvian Journal of Physics and Technical Sciences

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The present research is aimed at contributing to the Latvian national climate policy development by projecting total GHG emissions up to 2030, by evaluating the GHG emission reduction path in the non-ETS sector at different targets set for emissions reduction and by evaluating the obtained results within the context of the obligations defined by the EU 2030 policy framework for climate and energy. The method used in the research was bottom-up, linear programming optimisation model MARKAL code adapted as the MARKALLatvia model with improvements for perfecting the integrated assessment of climate policy. The modelling results in the baseline scenario, reflecting national economic development forecasts and comprising the existing GHG emissions reduction policies and measures, show that in 2030 emissions will increase by 19.1 % compared to 2005. GHG emissions stabilisation and reduction in 2030, compared to 2005, were researched in respective alternative scenarios. Detailed modelling and analysis of the Latvian situation according to the scenario of non-ETS sector GHG emissions stabilisation and reduction in 2030 compared to 2005 have revealed that to implement a cost effective strategy of GHG emissions reduction first of all a policy should be developed that ensures effective absorption of the available energy efficiency potential in all consumer sectors. The next group of emissions reduction measures includes all non-ETS sectors (industry, services, agriculture, transport, and waste management).

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Section: Modelling Methods and Assumptionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Introduction of Energy and Climate Mitigation Policy Issues in Energy - Environment Model of Latvia

Klavs

Reķis

2016

Latvian Journal of Physics and Technical Sciences

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“…System dynamics modeling results show that under the existing policy regime, GHG emissions may by 2030 increase by 19% above the 2005 level [14]. Modeling with linear programming optimization MARKAL, Latvia's model predicts that taking into account national economic development forecasts comprising the existing GHG emission reduction policies and measures, emissions in 2030 may increase significantly (up to 26.5%) compared to 2005 [15]. Investigations [14][15][16][17] show that in the agricultural sector, it may be difficult or impossible to reduce non-ETS emissions below the 2005 level.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of economical mechanisms on CO2 emissions from non-ETS district heating in Latvia using system dynamic approach

Ziemele

Cilinskis

Žogla

et al. 2017

Int J Energy Environ Eng

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A system dynamics modeling approach was used to analyze the impact of economical mechanisms on CO 2 emissions from the Latvian district heating system that is not covered by the European Union (EU) Emission Trading System (non-ETS). Three policy instruments were included in the system dynamic model: carbon tax, subsidies for solar technologies, and funding for energy-efficient building renovations with the aim to decrease energy consumption. Eight development scenarios were examined, taking into account different policy mixes for the transition of the heat network to the low-temperature regime. The heat tariff was used as the main indicator to determine the pace and structure of the technology change. The existing natural gas technologies and three renewable energy technologies (biomass combustion equipment, heat pump, and solar collectors with accumulation) were included in the model. Modeling results show substantial CO 2 reduction potential; however, the results are highly dependent on the applied financial instruments. It is recommended to apply a policy mix, including all the proposed policy instrumentscarbon tax, subsidies for solar technologies, and funding for energy-efficient renovation.

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Development of Latvia Greenhouse Gas Reduction Policy: Modelling and Analysis

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

Introduction of Energy and Climate Mitigation Policy Issues in Energy - Environment Model of Latvia

Introduction of Energy and Climate Mitigation Policy Issues in Energy - Environment Model of Latvia

Impact of economical mechanisms on CO2 emissions from non-ETS district heating in Latvia using system dynamic approach

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