2008
DOI: 10.2337/dc07-1150
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Diabetes Risk Calculator

Abstract: OBJECTIVE -The objective of this study was to develop a simple tool for the U.S. population to calculate the probability that an individual has either undiagnosed diabetes or prediabetes.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -We used data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and two methods (logistic regression and classification tree analysis) to build two models. We selected the classification tree model on the basis of its equivalent accuracy but greater ease of use.RESULTS -The re… Show more

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Cited by 226 publications
(168 citation statements)
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“…Questionnaires are inexpensive and some have been reported to provide AROC for diabetes of~0.80 [21], comparable to that of RPG in the present study, with most providing AROC 0.70-0.75 [22]. In our population, the Diabetes Risk Calculator [23] provided AROC 0.70 for diabetes and 0.67 for prediabetes 110 . Such inefficiency has led to greater interest in glycaemic indicators such as HbA 1c [24], which identified retinopathy almost as well as fasting or 2 h postchallenge glucose in a Pima Indian population [25], but in other populations performed less well than fasting glucose in identifying diabetes [26] and was very insensitive in detecting IGT [27], comparable to findings in our study.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 51%
“…Questionnaires are inexpensive and some have been reported to provide AROC for diabetes of~0.80 [21], comparable to that of RPG in the present study, with most providing AROC 0.70-0.75 [22]. In our population, the Diabetes Risk Calculator [23] provided AROC 0.70 for diabetes and 0.67 for prediabetes 110 . Such inefficiency has led to greater interest in glycaemic indicators such as HbA 1c [24], which identified retinopathy almost as well as fasting or 2 h postchallenge glucose in a Pima Indian population [25], but in other populations performed less well than fasting glucose in identifying diabetes [26] and was very insensitive in detecting IGT [27], comparable to findings in our study.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 51%
“…Explanatory variables reflect risk factors for diabetes that are common to both NHANES and the constructed population database (see Supplementary Data for predictive model results) (14)(15)(16)(17). We applied the predictive model to the constructed population database to generate individual probabilities of undiagnosed diabetes and prediabetes.…”
Section: Estimating Disease Prevalencementioning
confidence: 99%
“…We categorized each participant's risk of type 2 diabetes or pre-diabetes using the American Diabetes Association (ADA) Diabetes Risk Test (http://www.diabetes.org/diabetes-basics/prevention/diabetes-risk-test). This validated algorithm uses BMI, age, race, immediate family history of diabetes, and personal history of hypertension or gestational diabetes to categorize respondents as having low, medium, or high risk for type 2 diabetes (Heikes et al 2008). …”
Section: Measurementsmentioning
confidence: 99%