Importance
Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is highly prevalent in patients with pre-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, there are sparse data on the association of CAC with subsequent risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in this population.
Objectives
To study the prospective association of CAC with risk of CVD and all-cause mortality among patients with pre-dialysis CKD.
Design, Setting, and Participants
Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study recruited adults aged 21–74 years with an estimated-glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20–70 mL/min/1.73 m2 from seven clinical centers in the US. Of them, 1,541 participants without CVD at baseline who had CAC measures were included in current analyses.
Exposure
CAC was assessed by electron-beam computed tomography or multi-detector computed tomography.
Main Outcomes and Measures
Incidence of CVD (including myocardial infarction, heart failure, and stroke) and all-cause mortality were reported every six months and confirmed by medical record adjudication.
Results
During an average of 5.9 years of follow-up, we observed 188 CVD (60 myocardial infarction, 120 heart failure, and 27 stroke) and 137 deaths. In Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, gender, race, clinical site, education, physical activity, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive treatment, current cigarette smoking, diabetes, body-mass index, C-reactive protein, hemoglobin A1c, phosphate, troponin T, log-N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, fibroblast growth factor-23, eGFR, and proteinuria, the hazard ratios (95% confidence interval [CI]) associated with one standard deviation of CAC were 1.40 (1.16 to 1.69, p<.001) for CVD, 1.44 (1.02 to 2.02, p=.04) for myocardial infarction, 1.39 (1.10 to 1.76, p=.006) for heart failure, and 1.19 (0.94 to 1.51, p=.15) for all-cause mortality. In addition, inclusion of CAC score led to significant increase in c-statistic 0.02 (95% CI 0.00 to 0.09, p<.001) for predicting CVD over all above-mentioned established and novel CVD risk factors.
Conclusion and Relevance
CAC is independently and significantly related to the risks of CVD, myocardial infarction, and heart failure in CKD patients. In addition, CAC improves risk prediction for CVD, myocardial infarction, and heart failure over established and novel CVD risk factors among CKD patients, although the change in c-statistics is small.