2010
DOI: 10.22459/ag.17.02.2010.01
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Did Australia’s Fiscal Stimulus Counter Recession?: Evidence from the National Accounts

Abstract: A close scrutiny of the pattern of aggregate expenditure recorded in the Australian national accounts reveals it was the behaviour of exports and imports, and not increased fiscal activity, that was primarily responsible for offsetting the fall in private investment due to the Global Financial Crisis. The examination of a broad set of national income and employment indicators suggests that the Australian economy most likely did not avoid a recession, even though it was a relatively mild one by past standards.

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Cited by 16 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…The first round was targeted at consumers in late 2008 and the second and more substantial round was oriented towards infrastructure spending in 2009 and beyond (Barrett ; Economics References Committee ; Fenna ; Garnaut and Smith ; Swan and Tanner ; Taylor and Uren ). Continuing strong demand from China for iron ore and coal ensured that Australia sailed through the GFC as one of the very few OECD economies to avoid recession (Davidson ; Day ; Makin ).…”
Section: The 2008 Global Financial Crisis and Its Aftermathmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The first round was targeted at consumers in late 2008 and the second and more substantial round was oriented towards infrastructure spending in 2009 and beyond (Barrett ; Economics References Committee ; Fenna ; Garnaut and Smith ; Swan and Tanner ; Taylor and Uren ). Continuing strong demand from China for iron ore and coal ensured that Australia sailed through the GFC as one of the very few OECD economies to avoid recession (Davidson ; Day ; Makin ).…”
Section: The 2008 Global Financial Crisis and Its Aftermathmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Labor sought to capitalise on the relatively strong performance of the economy during the global financial crisis (GFC). The government attributed this strong performance to its stimulus package, which involved spending over AU$50 billion on infrastructure development and giving a cash 'tax bonus' to eligible taxpayers (Makin 2010). In total, the stimulus package amounted to 2.6 per cent of GDP during the 2008-10 planning period, double that of the next highest spenders among the countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (Wettenhall 2011, 79).…”
Section: The Election Campaignmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In April and May 2009 seasonally adjusted retail turnover was higher by approximately 1 per cent. This suggests some of the stimulus money may have contributed to increased retail trade although estimates for the impact of the stimulus cheques on GDP are very small (Lim et al ., ; Makin, ).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%