Die Delphi-Technik in Den Sozialwissenschaften 2000
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-663-09682-5_1
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Die Delphi-Methode als Gegenstand methodischer Forschungen

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Cited by 35 publications
(21 citation statements)
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“…The Delphi technique is a structured group communication process in which expert judgements on a specific question are determined. 13,14 As described by Jünger et al, the primary purpose of the Delphi technique is to achieve consensus or to explore a field beyond existing knowledge and current concepts. 12 The Delphi method acquires its validity through the theory of errors: aggregated group responses represent a statement that is superior to the majority of the individual experts.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Delphi technique is a structured group communication process in which expert judgements on a specific question are determined. 13,14 As described by Jünger et al, the primary purpose of the Delphi technique is to achieve consensus or to explore a field beyond existing knowledge and current concepts. 12 The Delphi method acquires its validity through the theory of errors: aggregated group responses represent a statement that is superior to the majority of the individual experts.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While there is still no clear definition of the method, Häder [53] lists several characteristics and requirements which appear to be crucial for the definition of the classical method and are fulfilled in most applications, based on an extensive literature review: (1) the use of a formalised questionnaire; (2) an expert survey; (3) the anonymity of individual responses; (4) the determination of a statistical group response; (5) feedback to the participants about this group response; (6) (multiple) repetition(s) of the survey according to this scheme. However, there have been heated debates about variants and applications [56][57][58][59][60]. Indeed, perhaps a Delphi study should be conducted in order to reach a consensus on how to conduct a Delphi study.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The method is often used to reduce uncertainty in problematic or highly complex fields. The data are gathered through a series of questionnaires interspersed with controlled and anonymous feedback (Häder & Häder, 2000). Two main suppositions are central: firstly, the judgment of a group is claimed as superior to judgments of individuals; secondly, the multilevel process of opinionforming is preferred as more valid than the single-level process (Häder, 2002).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Most of the studies differ in three ways: firstly, the use of open and closed questions; secondly, the number of questionnaires; and thirdly, the number and selection of participating experts. Meta-analysis of Delphi studies (Häder & Häder, 2000) shows that huge Delphis rarely use open questions, while small studies (up to 25 participants) often start with closed questions in order to open the room for arguments. A consensus is often established after the second questionnaire.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%