“…Although linear relationships have been obtained in controlled experiments, the precision of these estimates varies greatly in natural systems where eDNA on average explains 57% of the variance compared with 81% in controlled mesocosm experiments (Yates et al, 2019). The variability in these estimates can be attributed to differences in ground truthing methods (Rourke, Fowler, et al, 2022), hydrologic conditions (Song et al, 2017), DNA extraction methods (Bockrath et al, 2022; Karlsson et al, 2022), presence of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) inhibiting humic and tannic acids (Lance & Guan, 2020), sediment particles in the water (Stoeckle et al, 2017), size distribution of the local population (Yates, Cristescu, & Derry, 2021; Yates, Wilcox, et al, 2021) and ambient temperature (Lacoursière‐Roussel et al, 2016). Here, two of these factors are focused on, namely, temperature (DNA shedding and degradation) and hydrology (distribution and dilution).…”