Abstract.Morphodynamics in sand-bed braided rivers are associated to simultaneous evolution of mid-channel bars and channels on the braidplain. Bifurcations around mid-channel bars are key elements that divide discharge and sediment. This, in turn, may control the evolution of connected branches, with effects propagating to both upstream and downstream bifurcations. Recent works on bifurcation stability and development hypothesize major roles of secondary flow and gradient advantage. However, this has not been tested for channel networks within a fully developed dynamic braided river. A reason for this is a lack of detailed measurements with sufficient temporal and spatial length, covering multiple bifurcations. Therefore we used a physics-based numerical model to generate a dataset of bathymetry, flow and sediment transport of an 80-km river reach with self-formed braid bars and bifurcations. The study shows that bar dissection due to local transverse water surface gradients is the dominant bifurcation initiation mechanism, although conversion of unit bars into compound bars dominates in the initial stage of a braided river. Several bifurcation closure mechanisms are equally important. Furthermore, the study showed that nodal point relations for bifurcations are unable to predict short-term bifurcation evolution in a braided river. This is explained by occurrence of non-linear processes and non-uniformity within the branches, in particular migrating bars and larger-scale backwater-effects, which are not included in the nodal point relations. Planform morphology, on the other hand, has predictive capacity: bifurcation angle asymmetry and bar-tail limb shape are indicators for near-future bifurcation evolution. Remote sensing data has predictive value, for which we developed a conThis article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.ceptual model for interactions between bars, bifurcations and channels in the network. We conducted a preliminary test of the conceptual model on satellite images of the Brahmaputra.