“…The importance of these coastal-marine areas and ecosystems has brought about long-term monitoring that can be leveraged through data-driven (empirical) approaches (e.g., Destouni et al, 2008;van der Velde et al, 2013). Much work has proposed approaches to connect monitoring data, for example, average annual nutrient export loads or yields, with nutrient inputs (Howarth, 1998;Quin et al, 2015), land cover fractions (Beaulac and Reckhow, 1982;Alexander et al, 2004) and population densities (Peierls et al, 1991;Destouni et al, 2008). These approaches can sometimes be attractive over more physics-based approaches due to their simplicity.…”