“…Successful decision making requires inferring important quantities such as the values and probabilities associated with potential decision outcomes through sequential observations over time. This inference process is difficult in changing environments, where optimal inference requires tracking the environmental statistics necessary to determine the most appropriate rate of learning (Behrens, Woolrich, Walton, & Rushworth, 2007;Browning, Behrens, Jocham, O'Reilly, & Bishop, 2015;McGuire, Nassar, Gold, & Kable, 2014;Nassar, McGuire, Ritz, & Kable, 2019b;Nassar et al, 2012;Prescott Adams & MacKay, 2007;Yu & Dayan, 2005). In general, learning should be slow during periods of environmental stability in order to average over as many relevant observations as possible, but fast during periods of environmental change that render prior observations irrelevant to the problem of predicting future ones (Behrens et al, 2007;Browning et al, 2015;Nassar et al, 2016;Nassar, Wilson, Heasly, & Gold, 2010;Vaghi et al, 2017;Wilson, Nassar, & Gold, 2013).…”