Abstract:The balsam woolly adelgid (Adelges piceae) was introduced from Europe to northeastern North America in about 1900. In 1983, it was discovered infesting fir trees in Idaho. Since then, aerial and ground surveys have documented its spread in Idaho over an area of approximately 14,000 mi2 (8,960,000 ac). It now covers most of the central one-third of the state. Aerial surveys in 1997 and 1998 identified about 125,000 ac of host type with dead or damaged trees. Subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) is a critical specie… Show more
“…Occurrence. Subalpine fir is the dominant host of balsam woolly adelgid in Idaho [5] although grand fir has been reported to be a supportive host [13]. In the Rocky Mountain region, subalpine fir stands grow in full sun sites of cool high-elevation subalpine meadows and in microsites where pockets of cold air collect [14].…”
Section: Estimation Of Host Plantmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based upon the Euclidean distance between current infestations of balsam woolly adelgid, 57% of the infestations were within 0.3 km of other infestations (Table 1). Prior reports of the adelgid in Idaho have primarily focused on range expansion over relatively large areas and less so on the distances between individual infestations (i.e., [5]). Nearly all (97%) balsam woolly adelgid infestations located by the flight surveys within our study area were located within 5 km of other infestations.…”
Section: Spatial Distance Between Balsam Woolly Adelgid Infestationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Within the study area, subalpine fir occurred in disjunctive patches at higher elevations. Prior work on range expansion by balsam woolly adelgid in Idaho concentrated on examining large geographic areas [5]. However, variogrambased spatial distance analysis showed that the majority of infestations were located in relatively close proximity (within 5 km) to other infestations (Table 1).…”
Section: Wind Dispersal Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While grand fir, A. grandis (Douglas × D. Don) Lindley, is present throughout much of the infested area in Idaho, the adelgid is established on subalpine fir, A. lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt., where it is responsible for significant levels of mortality [5]. Infestation of firs by the adelgid results in structural changes within the host tissues.…”
The balsam woolly adelgid (Adelges piceae Ratzeburg) attacks subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt.) in eastern Washington, Oregon, and northern Idaho. Historical balsam woolly adelgid distributions present an opportunity to understand climatic factors that influence the species' distribution at a landscape scale. The distribution data allows for creation of predictive models that detail the likelihood of occurrence and associated geographic data allow modeling of species dispersal. Predictive variables linked to the distribution of the hosts and to abiotic environmental conditions were utilized to create a spatial probability model of occurrence. Balsam woolly adelgid predominantly disperses by wind, and hence, both wind speed and wind direction were used to create a dispersal probability model. Results from wind dispersal modeling suggested that two-thirds of the new infestations were due to July and August wind direction and speed. Average July winds ranged from 0.5 to 3.27 m/s, flowing south westerly, and August winds ranged from 0.43 to 1.55 m/s, flowing north easterly. Land managers can use the results of the predictive model to better understand where current infestations are likely to expand. Prediction of where the balsam woolly adelgid might move allows managers to adjust actions to respond to future insect movement and establishment.
“…Occurrence. Subalpine fir is the dominant host of balsam woolly adelgid in Idaho [5] although grand fir has been reported to be a supportive host [13]. In the Rocky Mountain region, subalpine fir stands grow in full sun sites of cool high-elevation subalpine meadows and in microsites where pockets of cold air collect [14].…”
Section: Estimation Of Host Plantmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based upon the Euclidean distance between current infestations of balsam woolly adelgid, 57% of the infestations were within 0.3 km of other infestations (Table 1). Prior reports of the adelgid in Idaho have primarily focused on range expansion over relatively large areas and less so on the distances between individual infestations (i.e., [5]). Nearly all (97%) balsam woolly adelgid infestations located by the flight surveys within our study area were located within 5 km of other infestations.…”
Section: Spatial Distance Between Balsam Woolly Adelgid Infestationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Within the study area, subalpine fir occurred in disjunctive patches at higher elevations. Prior work on range expansion by balsam woolly adelgid in Idaho concentrated on examining large geographic areas [5]. However, variogrambased spatial distance analysis showed that the majority of infestations were located in relatively close proximity (within 5 km) to other infestations (Table 1).…”
Section: Wind Dispersal Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…While grand fir, A. grandis (Douglas × D. Don) Lindley, is present throughout much of the infested area in Idaho, the adelgid is established on subalpine fir, A. lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt., where it is responsible for significant levels of mortality [5]. Infestation of firs by the adelgid results in structural changes within the host tissues.…”
The balsam woolly adelgid (Adelges piceae Ratzeburg) attacks subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa (Hook.) Nutt.) in eastern Washington, Oregon, and northern Idaho. Historical balsam woolly adelgid distributions present an opportunity to understand climatic factors that influence the species' distribution at a landscape scale. The distribution data allows for creation of predictive models that detail the likelihood of occurrence and associated geographic data allow modeling of species dispersal. Predictive variables linked to the distribution of the hosts and to abiotic environmental conditions were utilized to create a spatial probability model of occurrence. Balsam woolly adelgid predominantly disperses by wind, and hence, both wind speed and wind direction were used to create a dispersal probability model. Results from wind dispersal modeling suggested that two-thirds of the new infestations were due to July and August wind direction and speed. Average July winds ranged from 0.5 to 3.27 m/s, flowing south westerly, and August winds ranged from 0.43 to 1.55 m/s, flowing north easterly. Land managers can use the results of the predictive model to better understand where current infestations are likely to expand. Prediction of where the balsam woolly adelgid might move allows managers to adjust actions to respond to future insect movement and establishment.
“…lasiocarpa ) in California, Oregon, Washington and British Columbia [10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16]. Today the insect continues to disperse eastward and northward across Idaho, western Montana and British Columbia [17, 18, 19, 20, 21] where it is causing significant damage to subalpine fir stands. BWA is anticipated to continue to spread throughout the range of subalpine fir and cause significant decline of this important high elevation species.…”
The balsam woolly adelgid (Adelges piceae (Ratzeburg) (Homoptera: Adelgidae)) (BWA) is a nonnative, invasive insect that threatens Abies species throughout North America. It is well established in the Pacific Northwest, but continues to move eastward through Idaho and into Montana and potentially threatens subalpine fir to the south in the central and southern Rocky Mountains. We developed a climatic risk model and map that predicts BWA impacts to subalpine fir using a two-step process. Using 30-year monthly climate normals from sites with quantitatively derived BWA damage severity index values, we built a regression model that significantly explained insect damage. The sites were grouped into two distinct damage categories (high damage and mortality versus little or no mortality and low damage) and the model estimates for each group were used to designate distinct value ranges for four climatic risk categories: minimal, low, moderate, and high. We then calculated model estimates for each cell of a 4-kilometer resolution climate raster and mapped the risk categories over the entire range of subalpine fir in the western United States. The spatial variation of risk classes indicates a gradient of climatic susceptibility generally decreasing from the Olympic Peninsula in Washington and the Cascade Range in Oregon and Washington moving eastward, with the exception of some high risk areas in northern Idaho and western Montana. There is also a pattern of decreasing climatic susceptibility from north to south in the Rocky Mountains. Our study provides an initial step for modeling the relationship between climate and BWA damage severity across the range of subalpine fir. We showed that September minimum temperature and a metric calculated as the maximum May temperature divided by total May precipitation were the best climatic predictors of BWA severity. Although winter cold temperatures and summer heat have been shown to influence BWA impacts in other locations, these variables were not as predictive as spring and fall conditions in the Pacific Northwest.
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