2020
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-020-00797-3
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Do fiscal rules constrain political budget cycles?

Abstract: We ask whether fiscal rules constrain incumbents from using fiscal policy tools for reelection purposes. Using data on fiscal rules provided by the IMF for a sample of 77 (advanced and developing) countries over the 1984-2015 period, we find that strong fiscal rules dampen political budget cycles. Our results are remarkably robust against inclusion of media freedom and the level of government debt as explanatory variables. Furthermore, we find a strong effect of fiscal rules in, amongst others, countries with … Show more

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Cited by 67 publications
(52 citation statements)
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“…Another issue that should be stressed and may interpret our findings is related to the fact that, the economic crisis within the European Union has led the governments in the name of the Stability and Growth Pact to implement strict fiscal rules, limiting in sequence the government's ability to exercise public management [54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61]. Furthermore, in our study concerning Greece an economy with a number of particularities such as bureaucracy, huge public debt, and the Memorandum in valid formulate an economic environment vulnerable to economic shocks either related to the pandemic or to other sources [1].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Another issue that should be stressed and may interpret our findings is related to the fact that, the economic crisis within the European Union has led the governments in the name of the Stability and Growth Pact to implement strict fiscal rules, limiting in sequence the government's ability to exercise public management [54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61]. Furthermore, in our study concerning Greece an economy with a number of particularities such as bureaucracy, huge public debt, and the Memorandum in valid formulate an economic environment vulnerable to economic shocks either related to the pandemic or to other sources [1].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First of all, it should be noted that, as part of a scientific study, one of the important tasks is to understand the theoretical aspects and practice in the specifics of supranational legal regulation of CFCs' income taxation in the countries of the European Union (Gootjes, 2020). At the same time, for quite a long time, there has been a clear tendency in the legal regulation in the field of taxation in the EU member states aimed at phasing out tax sovereignty within the framework of the united pan-European doctrine and economic community, represented primarily by transnational corporations (Baudot, 2020).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Fiscal rules contribute to disciplined fiscal policy after a change in government [66]. Moreover, countries with established democracies tend to have a strong effect of fiscal rules [67]. Transparency of the process is extremely important.…”
Section: Procedural Issuesmentioning
confidence: 99%