2022
DOI: 10.31222/osf.io/uxf39
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Do Pre-Registration and Pre-analysis Plans Reduce p-Hacking and Publication Bias?

Abstract: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are increasingly prominent in economics, with pre-registration and pre-analysis plans (PAPs) promoted as important in ensuring the credibility of findings. We investigate whether these tools reduce the extent of p-hacking and publication bias by collecting and studying the universe of test statistics, 15,992 in total, from RCTs published in 15 leading economics journals from 2018 through 2021. In our primary analysis, we find no meaningful difference in the distribution of t… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…To illustrate, we share some approaches that we have used in our own research, such as uploading separate preregistration-deviation lists to OSF (e.g., Atherton et al, 2022Atherton et al, , 2023, weaving deviations throughout the article (e.g., Willroth et al, 2021), creating tables that describe deviations by research question (e.g., Willroth et al, 2020;Willroth, Hill, et al, 2023), and reporting deviations in footnotes (e.g., Willroth, Luo, et al, 2023). In addition, many researchers do not report deviations at all (e.g., see Brodeur et al, 2022;Claesen et al, 2021). In fact, of 27 preregistered studies published in Psychological Science, 93% included at least one deviation from the preregistration (Claesen et al, 2021).…”
Section: The Problem and Opportunitymentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…To illustrate, we share some approaches that we have used in our own research, such as uploading separate preregistration-deviation lists to OSF (e.g., Atherton et al, 2022Atherton et al, , 2023, weaving deviations throughout the article (e.g., Willroth et al, 2021), creating tables that describe deviations by research question (e.g., Willroth et al, 2020;Willroth, Hill, et al, 2023), and reporting deviations in footnotes (e.g., Willroth, Luo, et al, 2023). In addition, many researchers do not report deviations at all (e.g., see Brodeur et al, 2022;Claesen et al, 2021). In fact, of 27 preregistered studies published in Psychological Science, 93% included at least one deviation from the preregistration (Claesen et al, 2021).…”
Section: The Problem and Opportunitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Despite most scientists' best efforts and intentions, it is sometimes necessary or preferable to deviate from preregistered plans, whether because of new innovations, data-collection errors, responding to reviewer requests, or simply correcting meaningful typos. We are not the first to document this observation or the first to make calls for preregistration deviations to be transparently reported (e.g., Brodeur et al, 2022;Campbell et al, 2023;Claesen et al, 2021;Nosek et al, , 2019Simmons et al, 2021). However, currently, there is no standardized way to report deviations from preregistrations or to evaluate the impact of those deviations on study results.…”
Section: The Problem and Opportunitymentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Attempts have been made to reduce some of these problems by pre‐registration of studies, and pre‐publication of analysis protocols. But these are not really effective (Brodeur et al., 2022; Florez et al., 2023; Sarafoglou et al., 2023), and they only concern some of the issues of trustworthiness (such as publication bias, and misuse of statistics).…”
Section: The Need For Quality Judgementsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Despite most scientists' best efforts and intentions, it is sometimes necessary or preferable to deviate from preregistered plans, whether due to new innovations, data collection errors, responding to reviewer requests, or simply correcting meaningful typos. We are not the first to document this observation nor the first to make calls for preregistration deviations to be transparently reported (e.g., Brodeur et al, 2022;Campbell et al, 2019;Claesen et al, 2021;Simmons et al, 2021). However, currently there is no standardized way to report deviations from preregistrations or to evaluate the impact of those deviations on study results.…”
Section: The Problem and Opportunitymentioning
confidence: 99%