“…One strand of the literature finds that social spending is a weak predictor of improved welfare (e.g. Flug, Spilimbergo, & Wachtenheim, ; Filmer & Pritchett, ; Kim & Moody, ; Dreher, Nunnenkamp, & Thiele, ), whereas other studies contend that social spending does positively impact welfare outcomes of societies (e.g. Bidani & Ravallion, ; Gupta, Verhoeven, & Tiongson, , ; Baldacci, Clements, Gupta, & Cui, ).…”