Does employment uncertainty particularly impact fertility of children of North African immigrants in France? A gender perspective

Dupray, Arnaud; Pailhé, Ariane

doi:10.1080/1369183x.2017.1313107

Cited by 28 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 60 publications

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“…Interestingly, however, further analysis shows that highly educated women of Turkish origin exhibited firstand second-birth rates similar to those of native Germans. Dupray and Pailhé (2018) observe low first-birth rates for the descendants of immigrants from North Africa in France. Women of North African descent had a first child later than native French women, which the authors attributed to employment uncertainty and the high level of unemployment among immigrants.…”

Section: Recent Research On Childbearing Patterns Among Immigrants Anmentioning

confidence: 83%

A decade of life-course research on fertility of immigrants and their descendants in Europe

Kulu¹,

Milewski²,

Hannemann³

et al. 2019

DemRes

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Section: Recent Research On Childbearing Patterns Among Immigrants Anmentioning

confidence: 83%

A decade of life-course research on fertility of immigrants and their descendants in Europe

Kulu¹,

Milewski²,

Hannemann³

et al. 2019

DemRes

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“…There may be reasons for the disruptive character of the living conditions following the migration to Cotonou. Being a migrant and securing a first job in large cities itself may be sufficiently disturbing from a socio-psychological perspective as to interfere with the psychological capacity to conceive and bear children [41]. Furthermore, some women may have shortened interbirth intervals soon after arriving in Cotonou, and thereafter started delaying childbirth due to either hard living conditions or new job’s constraints.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Examining internal migration effects on short versus long interbirth intervals in Cotonou, Benin Republic

Banougnin

2019

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth

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BackgroundThe literature on migration-fertility relationship uses various measures of fertility, such as fertility rates, actual fertility and family size preferences. This study introduces a different measure—interbirth intervals over women’s reproductive years—to examine how internal migration is associated with short interbirth intervals (less than 24 months) and long interbirth intervals (greater than 60 months) in Cotonou, the largest city of Benin Republic.MethodsThe paper uses primary data on 2852 live births to 1659 women aged 15–49 years from the 2018 Fertility and Migration Survey in Cotonou. Competing-risks models were fitted for the analysis.ResultsNineteen percent of live births were of short interbirth intervals and 16% were of long interbirth intervals. The prevalence of short interbirth intervals was higher among migrants who spent less than 5 years in Cotonou (29%) than among non-migrants (19%) and earlier migrants (18%). Non-migrants had the highest proportion of long interbirth intervals (19%). Within the first 5 years following the migration to Cotonou, migrants had higher subhazard ratio (SHR) of short interbirth intervals (SHR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.33–2.21) and lower SHR of long interbirth intervals (SHR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.47–0.87) than non-migrants. This association holds after controlling for socioeconomic characteristics—but with a slightly reduced gap between migrants who spent less than 5 years in Cotonou and non-migrants. Afterwards and irrespective of women’s socioeconomic backgrounds, migrants who spent 5 or more years in Cotonou and non-migrants had similar risks of short and long interbirth intervals. Finally, from 5 years of stay in Cotonou, migrants for reasons other than school or job were less likely to experience short interbirth intervals (SHR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.46–0.98 for migrants who spent 5–10 years in Cotonou, and SHR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.54–1.02 for migrants who spent more than 10 years in Cotonou) than non-migrants.ConclusionFamily planning programmes should mainly target migrants in the early years after their arrival in Cotonou. Moreover, non-migrants need to be sensitised on the adverse health outcomes of long interbirth intervals.

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“…In most of the studies on the topic, evidence supports the existence of a negative effect of having a more precarious job on fertility (e.g., Dupray and Pailhé 2018, Lundstrom and Andersson 2012, Baizan 2005, Blossfeld et al 2006, Pailhé and Solaz 2012 and fertility intentions (Pailhè 2009, Palumbo and Sironi 2016, Modena and Sabatini 2012. However, having an unstable job is not always linked to a higher vulnerability to recession periods: some temporary contracts are very well-paid, and this might be seen as an opportunity, which does not have negative returns in terms of fertility (Alderotti et al 2019).…”

Section: The Impact Of Economic Uncertainty On Fertility Intentions and Behavioursmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…As for previous economic crises, there is a wide literature on the effects of objective and subjective financial factors on fertility intentions and behaviours, both at the micro and the macro level (e.g., Sobotka et al 2011, Goldstein et al 2013, Matysiak et al 2021, Dupray and Pailhé 2018, Pailhé and Solaz 2012, Palumbo and Sironi 2016, Modena and Sabatini 2012, Testa and Basten 2014, Novelli et al 2020. In periods of great economic uncertainty, as the COVID-19 pandemic has already been proved to be (Baker et al 2020), people tend to postpone childbearing (Kreyenfeld 2010, Kreyenfeld et al 2012, Vignoli et al 2020a, and long-lasting recessions negatively affect fertility intentions and behaviours, if they lead to an enduring or even permanent loss of income among young adults (Kearney and Levine 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes in fertility plans during the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy: the role of occupation and income vulnerability

Arpino¹,

Luppi²,

Rosina³

2021

Preprint

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The health and economic crisis generated by the COVID-19 pandemic is unprecedented in recent human history. We investigate the role of objective and subjective indicators of economic uncertainty due to the COVID-19 crisis in young Italians’ fertility plans during the year 2020. We use unique repeated cross-sectional data, collected at different time points during the pandemic (March and October/November 2020) together with pre-COVID data (2016). The data offer a standard fertility intention question pre- and during-COVID, and also a direct question on whether pre-COVID fertility plans have been confirmed, postponed or abandoned. We find that individuals with more vulnerable occupations show a lower probability of definitely intending to have a(nother) child in the short-term and a higher probability of having abandoned their pre-COVID fertility plan in March 2020, while in October 2020 changes in fertility plans did not vary by occupation. Instead, those who suffered from a negative income shock and those with negative expectations on their future income and occupation are more likely to abandon their pre-pandemic fertility plan compared to their better off counterparts, and these differences hold both in March and October. Overall, economic uncertainty generated by the pandemic seems to have similarly affected men and women’s fertility intentions. Our findings point to the fact that the unequal economic consequences of the pandemic also produced and will produce heterogeneous effects on fertility intentions.

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Does employment uncertainty particularly impact fertility of children of North African immigrants in France? A gender perspective

Cited by 28 publications

References 60 publications

A decade of life-course research on fertility of immigrants and their descendants in Europe

A decade of life-course research on fertility of immigrants and their descendants in Europe

Examining internal migration effects on short versus long interbirth intervals in Cotonou, Benin Republic

Changes in fertility plans during the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy: the role of occupation and income vulnerability

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