When sea‐level (
SL
) residents rapidly ascend to high altitude (
HA
), plasma volume (
PV
) decreases. A quantitative model for predicting individual %∆
PV
over the first 7 days at
HA
has recently been developed from the measurements of %∆
PV
in 393
HA
sojourners. We compared the measured %∆
PV
with the %∆
PV
predicted by the model in 17
SL
natives living 21 days at
HA
(4300 m). Fasting hematocrit (Hct), hemoglobin (Hb) and total circulating protein (
TCP
) concentrations at
SL
and on days 2, 7, 13, and 19 at
HA
were used to calculate %∆
TCP
and %∆
PV
. Mean [95%
CI
] measured %∆
PV
on
HA
2, 7, 13 and 19 was −2.5 [−8.2, 3.1], −11.0 [−16.6, −5.5], −11.7 [−15.9, −7.4], and −16.8 [−22.2, −11.3], respectively. %∆
PV
and %∆
TCP
were positively correlated (
P
< 0.001) at
HA
2, 7, 13, and 19 (
r
2
= 0.77, 0.88, 0.78, 0.89, respectively). The model overpredicted mean [95%
CI
] decrease in %∆
PV
on
HA
2 (−12.5 [−13.9, −11.1]) and
HA
7 (−21.5 [−23.9, −19.1]), accurately predicted the mean decrease on
HA
13 (−14.3, [−20.0, −8.7]), and predicted a mean increase in %∆
PV
on
HA
19 (12.4 [−5.0, 29.8]). On
HA
2, 7, 13, and 19 only 2, 2, 6, and 1, respectively, of 17 individual measures of %∆
PV
were within 95%
CI
for predicted %∆
PV
. These observations indicate that
PV
responses to
HA
are largely oncotically mediated, vary considerably among individuals, and available quantitative models require refinement to predict %∆
PV
exhibited by individual sojourners.