Does geopolitical risk affect bilateral trade? Evidence from South Korea

Kim, Chi Yeol; Jin, Hyungsuk

doi:10.1080/13547860.2023.2204693

Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy

2023

DOI: 10.1080/13547860.2023.2204693

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Does geopolitical risk affect bilateral trade? Evidence from South Korea

Chi Yeol Kim

Hyungsuk Jin

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2024

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Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…A compelling option is to broaden our analysis by including additional countries. By employing a panel GARCH, we can investigate the trade dynamics in Tunisia with respect to exchange rate uncertainty (Kim and Jin, 2023) and/or geopolitical risks (Zhang et al, 2023). From a research standpoint, we plan to incorporate specific governance indicators and examine their interaction with exports on economic growth.…”

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Agricultural Exports, Other Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach for Tunisia

Trabelsi,

Kachout

2024

JEA

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<p><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: verdana, geneva, sans-serif;">This paper aims to study and quantify the impact of agricultural exports on economic growth along with other variables in Tunisia. For that purpose, we estimate the relationship between GDP, agricultural exports, other exports, and imports by applying the ARDL approach under the period 1990-2020. The results show a negative and insignificant impact of agricultural exports on economic growth in the long and short run. Other exports negatively and significantly impact economic growth, while imports are found to have a positive impact on long-term economic growth. The findings have economic implications for sectors and activities that should be promoted to accelerate economic growth.</span></p>

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Agricultural Exports, Other Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach for Tunisia

Trabelsi,

Kachout

2024

JEA

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Geopolitical risk and natural resources: A comparative analysis of trade integration in the African and European Unions

Nazir,

Mariev,

Sohag

2024

Natural Resources Forum

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Geopolitically induced energy insecurity can impede trade integration among different economic blocs. This study employs a novel, sophisticated Fourier‐augmented ARDL methodology to explore the relationship between energy commodity prices, geopolitical risks, and trade integration within the African Union (AU) and the European Union (EU) from January 2000 to December 2023. Amid increasing geopolitical tensions, this analysis uncovers distinct impacts on the trade dynamics of the AU and EU, highlighting the complex interplay between natural resource abundance and geopolitical risk. The empirical findings reveal that energy resource prices generally impede trade integration in both regions, supporting the natural resource curse hypothesis. However, geopolitical risk has a divergent effect, facilitating trade integration in the AU while hindering it in the EU. One of the novelties of this study is the use of the Fourier‐augmented ARDL approach, which accounts for multiple structural breaks in the data, providing robust results. Additionally, the study comparative analysis of AU and EU regional trade dynamics in the context of geopolitical risks is another significant contribution. The inclusion of precious metals and global supply chain variables provides deeper insights into regional trade dynamics, emphasizing the importance of proactive geopolitical risk management. The findings suggest that tailored policy measures aimed at leveraging natural resources effectively while mitigating geopolitical risks can pave the way for sustainable economic growth and integration in both the AU and EU.

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Does geopolitical risk affect bilateral trade? Evidence from South Korea

Cited by 2 publications

References 56 publications

Agricultural Exports, Other Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach for Tunisia

Agricultural Exports, Other Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach for Tunisia

Geopolitical risk and natural resources: A comparative analysis of trade integration in the African and European Unions

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