2016
DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-013335
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Does oral polio vaccine have non-specific effects on all-cause mortality? Natural experiments within a randomised controlled trial of early measles vaccine

Abstract: BackgroundBCG and measles vaccine (MV) may have beneficial non-specific effects (NSEs). If an unplanned intervention with a vaccine (a natural experiment) modifies the estimated effect in a randomised controlled trial (RCT), this suggests NSEs. We used this approach to test NSEs of triple oral polio vaccine (OPV).MethodsDuring an RCT of 2 doses of MV at 4.5 and 9 months versus 1 dose of MV at 9 months of age, we experienced 2 natural experiments with OPV. We assessed whether these OPV experiments modified the … Show more

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Cited by 37 publications
(44 citation statements)
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“…This could reduce all-cause child mortality substantially in low-income countries with high mortality. We have used this strategy successfully in Guinea-Bissau when two doses of MV at 4.5 and 9 months were associated with a 30% reduction in mortality between 4.5 and 36 months of age (3,30). In two subsequent RCTs of two-dose MV in Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso we found no beneficial effect of early MV (31).…”
Section: Interpretation and Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 93%
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“…This could reduce all-cause child mortality substantially in low-income countries with high mortality. We have used this strategy successfully in Guinea-Bissau when two doses of MV at 4.5 and 9 months were associated with a 30% reduction in mortality between 4.5 and 36 months of age (3,30). In two subsequent RCTs of two-dose MV in Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso we found no beneficial effect of early MV (31).…”
Section: Interpretation and Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 93%
“…During these latter RCTs many mothers were vaccinated and levels of maternal measles antibody were low and consequently fewer children were vaccinated in the presence of maternal antibody. In addition there were numerous campaigns with oral polio vaccine (OPV) and this may have reduced or removed the benefit from early MV (30,31); we have previously shown that neonatal vitamin A supplementation (NVAS) may also remove the benefit of early MV (3). The marked benefit of early MV may therefore be affected by other interventions.…”
Section: Interpretation and Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Rather than the "certainty" of the beneficial NSEs of MV, focus should also be on what other factors might affect the NSEs of MV. For example, we have found that routine OPV, OPV-campaigns and vitamin Acampaigns may modulate the NSEs of MV [22,25,48].…”
Section: The Way Forwardmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…Second, several studies have shown OPV-campaigns to be associated with a marked decline in the general mortality rate [45][46][47]. Third, OPV campaigns have modified estimated mortality outcomes in studies of other vaccines [45,48].…”
Section: Example: Oral Polio Vaccinementioning
confidence: 99%
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