Does political and social feasibility matter in energy scenarios?

Schubert, Daniel Kurt Josef; Thuß, Sebastian; Möst, Dominik

doi:10.1016/j.erss.2015.03.003

Cited by 59 publications

(27 citation statements)

References 49 publications

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“…firms, electorates, civil society) for skills, financial resources, deployment and legitimacy 45 . Because of these dependencies, studies should "make the social and political contextual factors with respect to the choice and implementation of a technology path more explicit" (italics in original) 46 .…”

Section: Analytical Challenges For Integrated Assessment Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions

2016

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Low-carbon transitions are long-term multi-faceted processes. While integrated assessment models (IAMs) have many strengths for analysing such transitions, their mathematical representation requires a simplification of the causes, dynamics and scope of such societal transformations. We suggest that IAM-based analysis should be complemented with insights from socio-technical transition analysis and practice-based action research. We discuss the underlying assumptions, strengths and weaknesses of three analytical approaches. We argue that full integration of these approaches is not feasible, because of foundational differences in philosophies of science and ontological assumptions. Instead, we suggest that bridging, based on sequential and interactive articulation of different approaches, may generate a more comprehensive and useful chain of assessments to support policy formation and action. We also show how these approaches address knowledge needs of different policymakers (international, national, local), relate to different dimensions of policy processes, and speak to different policyrelevant criteria such as cost-effectiveness, socio-political feasibility, social acceptance and legitimacy, and flexibility. A more differentiated set of analytical approaches thus enables a more differentiated approach to climate policy-making.

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Section: Analytical Challenges For Integrated Assessment Modelsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions

2016

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“…There is recognition that the STS literature needs to focus more on political struggles (Geels et al ) and to ‘make the social and political contextual factors with respect to the choice and implementation of a technology path more explicit’ (Schubert et al , p. 44). As Kuzemko et al () note, STS literature tends to treat energy governance as a depoliticized process rather than one that takes place in the context of power relations between key groups, and their influence on policy‐making and implementation.…”

Section: Understanding the Mechanisms Of Energy Transitions: Policy Cmentioning

confidence: 99%

Two steps forward, one step back: Renewable energy transitions in Bulgaria and Romania

Davidescu

Hiteva

Maltby

2018

Public Administration

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This article examines renewable energy policy in Bulgaria and Romania (2007–17) and the reasons behind the unexpected rapid growth in renewables followed by a policy reversal. While we find strong formal compliance with EU legislation regarding targets for renewable energy, an examination of institutional change and policy dismantling in both countries finds that this was not supported by a paradigmatic policy change or a transformation of the energy system. Veto players worked to dismantle renewable energy policy once targets were reached. We use insights from the intersection of socio‐technical systems and historical institutionalist literatures to explain policy dismantling in the energy sector. In doing so, we develop a socio‐technical account of renewable policy in Romania and Bulgaria. We show that this is related to the historically conditioned, path‐dependent processes of institutional change, where energy materiality shapes the parameters of political possibility and the costs of policy implementation.

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“…Finally, the BMWi scenario was selected because it is very likely that policy makers will stick to it and will therefore follow time-consistent development based on this scenario. This surmise is based on two pieces of evidence: first, the BMWi scenario exhibits extraordinarily high social acceptance when compared to other development scenarios (Schubert et al 2015b), and, second, it focuses highly on economic viability and emission reduction (up to 80 % as of 1990 (Keles et al Scenario res-only considers the same set-up as in the phase-out case with the exception of German nuclear power plants which are considered to be still in operation even after the planned shut down in 2022. This allows us to isolate the impact of shutting down the nuclear power plants on the grid by comparing the phase-out and res-only scenarios.…”

Section: Data Descriptionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of German Energiewende on transmission lines in the central European region

2017

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The impacts of renewable energy production and German nuclear phase-out on the electricity transmission systems in Central Europe is investigated with focus on the disparity between the growth of renewable production and the pace at which new electricity transmission lines have been built, especially in Germany. This imbalance endangers the system stability and reliability in the whole region. The assessment of these impacts on the transmission grid is analysed by the direct current load flow model ELMOD. Two scenarios for the year 2025 are evaluated from different perspectives. The distribution of loads in the grids is shown. Hourly patterns are analysed. Geographical decomposition is made, and problematic regions are identified. The high solar or wind power generation decrease the periods of very low transmission load and increase the mid-and high load on the transmission lines. High solar feed-in has less detrimental impacts on the transmission grid than high wind feed-in. High wind feed-in burdens the transmission lines in the north-south direction in Germany and water-pump-storage areas in Austria.

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Does political and social feasibility matter in energy scenarios?

Cited by 59 publications

References 49 publications

Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions

Bridging analytical approaches for low-carbon transitions

Two steps forward, one step back: Renewable energy transitions in Bulgaria and Romania

Impact of German Energiewende on transmission lines in the central European region

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