“…For example, Edmans, Goldstein, and Jiang (2012) emphasize that most firm-related or financial variables are inappropriate for use in analyzing the true incentives for corporate decisions. Moreover, there are potential omitted variables that may simultaneously drive both the uncertainty of firms' future earnings and dividend payout policy.For example, changes in the taxation affect both cash flow uncertainty and corporate dividend decisions 3 For example, reduction in dividend payments is associated with increase in the investment which leads to larger risk exposure to the business cycle 4 Political crises are likely to cause changes in the perceived rare disaster probabilities (Berkman, Jacobsen, 1 firms respond to exogenous shocks, political crises provide a unique platform for investigating the role of country characteristics and for determining firms' various motives for dividend payout policy (see La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer, and Vishny (2000) and Choy, Gul, and Yao (2011)).…”