Paleoceanographic proxy data indicate that the Agulhas leakage into the South Atlantic was dramatically reduced during glacial times. In our former papers, we suggested that this was due to a northward shift of the zero wind stress curl that, in turn, forced the retroflection to occur farther north, where the slant of the coastline relative to the north is steep. In the present paper, we propose that strong westerlies (0.4 Pa, implying a wind speed of ∼12 m s −1 at zero degrees centigrade), which were supposedly common during glaciations, can also arrest the leakage. This arrest occurred because the wind stress opposed the momentum flux associated with the retroflection; such an arrest did not require the retroflection to shift in latitude.We use a simple, nonlinear, "reduced gravity" model to show analytically and numerically that, under the above conditions, the eastward wind stress compensates for the zonal westward flow-force associated with the retroflection, thus avoiding the development and shedding of rings. For a nearly zonal wall, westerly winds, and small upper layer thickness along the wall, the arresting wind stress is found, theoretically, to be, τ x = 0.042α 3/2 ρf 0 [(2f 0 Q) 3 /g ] 1/4 , where α is twice the retroflection eddy vorticity, ρ is the water density, Q is the Agulhas Current volume flux, and the remaining notation is conventional.
A few words on Stern's contribution to the field of eddiesEddies, the oceanic analogs of tornadoes and hurricanes, were one of Melvin's specialties. In an elegant paper that most people originally referred to as "esoteric" (1974, JMR), Melvin showed that much can be learned about eddies by looking at groups of two adjacent vortices, each spinning in a different direction. For reasons known only to him, he coined this counter-spinning vortex a "Modon". (A modon actually means a collection of cities in Arabic.) Despite the initial skepticism by some (evidently, one editor of a respectable 1.