Abstract-Incidence, determinants, and outcome of atrial fibrillation in hypertensive subjects are incompletely known. We followed for up to 16 years 2482 initially untreated subjects with essential hypertension. At entry, all subjects were in sinus rhythm. Subjects with valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, preexcitation syndrome, thyroid disorders, or lung disease were excluded. During follow-up, a first episode of atrial fibrillation occurred in 61 subjects at a rate of 0. (both PϽ0.001) were the sole independent predictors of atrial fibrillation. For every 1 standard deviation increase in left ventricular mass, the risk of atrial fibrillation was increased 1.20 times (95% CI, 1.07 to 1.34). Atrial fibrillation became chronic in 33% of subjects. Age, left ventricular mass, and left atrial diameter (all PϽ0.01) were independent predictors of chronic atrial fibrillation. Ischemic stroke occurred at a rate of 2.7% and 4.6% per year, respectively, among subjects with paroxysmal and chronic atrial fibrillation. These data indicate that in hypertensive subjects with sinus rhythm and no other major predisposing conditions, risk of atrial fibrillation increases with age and left ventricular mass. Increased left atrial size predisposes to chronicization of atrial fibrillation. Key Words: fibrillation Ⅲ hypertension, essential Ⅲ stroke Ⅲ hypertrophy Ⅲ echocardiography Ⅲ aging T he most important risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF) are age, male gender, hypertension, thyrotoxicosis, smoking, diabetes, left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy, left atrial enlargement, valvular and coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, and stroke. [1][2][3][4][5] In the Framingham Heart Study, hypertension and diabetes were the sole cardiovascular risk factors to be predictive of AF after controlling for age and other predisposing conditions. 5 The role of hypertension as risk factor for AF is established but still incompletely known. In the Manitoba Follow-up study, prevalence of hypertension was 53%, and the risk of AF was 1.42 times higher in hypertensive subjects as compared with normotensive subjects. 2 Because of its high prevalence in the population, hypertension independently accounts for more AF cases than any other risk factor. 5 However, despite its leading importance as a highly prevalent and modifiable risk factor, only a few data are available regarding predictors and outcome of AF in large populations of subjects with essential hypertension free of coexisting valvular or coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, hyperthyroidism, or other predisposing conditions. In particular, the clinical value of LV mass as a potential independent predictor of AF in the specific setting of essential hypertension has never been examined in a large cohort of subjects.
MethodsThe Progetto Ipertensione Umbria Monitoraggio Ambulatoriale (PIUMA) study started in 1986 as an observational registry of morbidity and mortality in initially untreated subjects with essential hypertension. Details on protocol have been pu...