2012
DOI: 10.5751/ace-00519-070106
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Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers

Abstract: ABSTRACT. Native grasslands have been altered to a greater extent than any other biome in North America. The habitats and resources needed to support breeding performance of grassland birds endemic to prairie ecosystems are currently threatened by land management practices and impending climate change. Climate models for the Great Plains prairie region predict a future of hotter and drier summers with strong multiyear droughts and more frequent and severe precipitation events. We examined how fluctuations in w… Show more

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Cited by 22 publications
(42 citation statements)
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References 26 publications
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“…Extreme weather events may include heavy rainstorms, such as the events in 2011 that caused many nest failures in our study, or prolonged drought, which could lead to greater accessibility of otherwise wet marshes to terrestrial predators; predation by ground predators is another important factor accounting for nest losses of Aquatic Warblers (Dyrcz and Zdunek 1993b). Increased climatic variability has affected nest survival in other ground-nesting birds (Albright et al 2010, Dreitz et al 2012). The Aquatic Warbler is well-adapted to annually fluctuating environmental conditions (Vergeichik and Kozulin 2006a, b), but increasing occurrence of extreme weather events combined with habitat loss or unfavourable conditions at wintering sites (Flade et al 2011) may contribute to population declines.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Extreme weather events may include heavy rainstorms, such as the events in 2011 that caused many nest failures in our study, or prolonged drought, which could lead to greater accessibility of otherwise wet marshes to terrestrial predators; predation by ground predators is another important factor accounting for nest losses of Aquatic Warblers (Dyrcz and Zdunek 1993b). Increased climatic variability has affected nest survival in other ground-nesting birds (Albright et al 2010, Dreitz et al 2012). The Aquatic Warbler is well-adapted to annually fluctuating environmental conditions (Vergeichik and Kozulin 2006a, b), but increasing occurrence of extreme weather events combined with habitat loss or unfavourable conditions at wintering sites (Flade et al 2011) may contribute to population declines.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Decreased survival rates associated with extreme weather events were similar across years and sites but are only illustrated for two cases, both in Weld County, Colorado: (a) Pawnee National Grassland, 1997, and(b) Central Plains Experimental Range, 2012. for effects of changing temperatures on nest survival of birds is equivocal. The inconsistency among studies is likely to be due to the variety of factors, including the temperature variables considered (daily or seasonal), the range of temperatures during the study, nest substrates (cavity or open cup) and microclimates (open arid lands or forest; vegetation surrounding the nest) involved across the various studies (Rotenberry & Wiens 1991, Dinsmore et al 2002, Drever & Clark 2007, Dickey et al 2008, Dreitz et al 2012, Skagen & Yackel Adams 2012. Although predation has been considered the primary direct cause of nest failure in songbirds in general (Martin 1995), storm events can also directly lead to nest mortality through exposure to hail damage and flooding (Skagen & Yackel Adams 2012, Fisher et al 2015.…”
Section: (A)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We first assessed relative importance of covariates within 5 categories representing our ecological hypotheses (i.e., prey abundance, vegetative cover, weather, anthropogenic infrastructure, nest substrate) by fitting univariate linear regressions of covariates on response variables with the base function glm in Program R. Additionally, we evaluated year and ecoregion at this stage. We compared models within each covariate category using AIC c , and retained covariates that ranked within 2 AIC c of the top model and above the intercept‐only model (Dreitz et al ). We calculated pairwise correlations among all covariates and retained the higher‐ranked variable from pairs that were strongly correlated.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Breeding success of birds is influenced by numerous factors, including composition and configuration of the surrounding landscape (Rodewald ), nest substrate and placement (Roth and Marzluff ), weather and climate (Dreitz et al ), food availability (Steenhof et al ), predation risk (Chalfoun et al ), natural (Rota et al ) and anthropogenic (Beale and Monaghan ) disturbance, and nesting stage (Stanley ). Studies intended to isolate management‐relevant variables can produce inconclusive or biased results if they fail to account for important competing sources of variation.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%