Drought Assessment of Yeşilırmak Basin Using Long-term Data

Abstract

Drought is a prolonged period of inadequate rainfall, such as one season, one year or several years, on a statistical multi-year average for a region. Drought is a natural disaster effective on several socio-economic activities from agriculture to public health and leads to deterioration of the environment sustainability. The drought starts with meteorological drought, continues with agricultural and hydrological drought, and when it is in the socioeconomic dimension, the effects begin to be observed. Generally, drought studies are based on drought indices in the literature. This study applied long-term precipitation, temperature and evaporation data from Samsun, Tokat, Merzifon, Çorum and Amasya meteorological stations from 1961 to 2022 to investigate the drought in the Yeşilırmak basin of Turkey. The present study applied Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and Effective Drought Index (EDI), China Z- Index (CZI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) based on daily, monthly, seasonal and annual time periods to evaluate drought. The Sen slope and Mann-Kendall test were employed for data analysis. The results revealed that the monthly drought indices for the study area were almost identical for the study area. Although there were particularly severe and wet periods, generally normal drought levels were observed