Drought Modelling Using Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in Izmir District

Abstract

The world's water resources are decreasing day by day due to factors such as climate change, drought, inefficient pricing policies implemented by the government, population growth, uncontrolled water consumption, technological developments, and industrialization. A decrease in water resources causes water scarcity in the long-term period. This study is conducted to analysis the meteorological drought, in Izmir district, Turkey. Inspired by the real-life problem, drought estimation models are developed through artificial neural network-based artificial intelligence techniques incorporating a decision support system. The Zscore index (ZSI) values are computed using precipitation data collected from five meteorological station in Küçük Menderes basin, and several developed models are compared according to the variety of statistical performance metrics.