“…In a meta-analysis of RCTs with results published from 1969 through 2004 in PubMed, EMBase Pharmacology, the Cochrane database, clinical trial Web sites, and a hand search of reference lists, Ost et al determined that the incidence of recurrent VTE with long-term (>6 months) anticoagulation therapy in patients with a first episode of VTE (or therapy that involved anticoagulation with one or more agents) was 0.020 events per person-year (i.e., 1 in 50) compared with a rate 6 times higher (0.126 events per person-year) for shorter therapy (P <0.001). 10 The authors concluded that the optimum length of warfarin therapy was not clear, but 6 or more months of treatment appeared to be beneficial, particularly for patients at higher risk, even though the duration of anticoagulation beyond 6 months results in a relatively modest incremental risk reduction. What is more, this study pointed out that (a) the number needed to treat to prevent 1 VTE event with long-term anticoagulation would be approximately 50 (95% CI, 25-1,000), (b) the effect size with lifelong therapy is much larger since the number needed to treat to prevent 1 VTE event with lifelong anticoagulation would be approximately 9 (95% CI, 7-14), but (c) the relative amount of harm that is associated with each adverse outcome is important to consider since, for example, the damage from an intracranial hemorrhage can be much more serious than a VTE of the lower extremity.…”