Dynamic modeling of global fossil fuel infrastructure and materials needs: Overcoming a lack of available data

Emerging consensus on net energy paves the way for improved integrated assessment modeling

“…the integration of Industrial Ecology methods (e.g. Material Flow Analysis) or modules such as DyMEMDS, [185][186][187] ODYM-RECC, 188,189 or QTDIAN, 190 in order to better capture stocks and flows of energy and materials associated with the industrial subsector;…”

Mobilizing materials to enable a fast energy transition: a conceptual framework

“…While reducing final consumption and reuse can make more energy available for mobilizing materials, upscaling recycling may increase energy demand through the increased efforts for collection, sorting and purification (Schäfer, 2021;Schmidt, 2021;Baum, 2018). During the transition, parts of the current fossil infrastructure-primarily composed of steel, Al, Cu, and concrete (Le Boulzec et al, 2022)-gets replaced and becomes obsolete. Similarly, materials can become liberated when reducing consumption and mobilizing "hibernating" materials, such as unused pipings or mobile phones.…”

“…The dynamics of primary mineral resource markets and their physical/geological limits are commonly neglected, while inflow of recycled resources based on previous product sales and global recycling rates are sometimes included (Vidal, 2018). Additionally, fossil infrastructure will become obsolete during the transition, however, the extent to which this can contribute to the transition has been relatively little explored (Le Boulzec et al, 2022).…”

Material requirements and impacts of the building sector in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

“…The modeling methodology of this study relies on the MATER (Multiregional Assessment of Technology, Energy and Raw material) stocks and flows model (Figure 2) which covers the entire energy chain and three end-use energy sector. A stock-driven approach is considered to estimate the primary and secondary materials requirements, and their associated production energy and CO 2 emissions (Vidal, 2021;Le Boulzec et al, 2022). The MATER model is a Python version of the DyMEMDs model (Vidal et al, 2021;Le Boulzec et al, 2022) with new features such as the endogenization of the industry and electricity supply sectors.…”