Background
After portal vein embolization (PVE), the future liver remnant (FLR) hypertrophies over several weeks. An early marker that predicts a low risk of post-hepatectomy liver failure may reduce the delay to surgery.
Study Design
Liver volumes of 153 patients who underwent a major hepatectomy (>3 segments) after PVE for primary or secondary liver malignancy between September 1999 and November 2012 were retrospectively evaluated with computerized volumetry. Pre- and post-PVE FLR volume and functional liver volume (FLV) were measured. Degree of hypertrophy (DH = postFLR/postFLV - preFLR/preFLV) and growth rate (GR = DH / weeks since PVE) were calculated. Postoperative complications and liver failure were correlated with DH, measured GR, and estimated GR (eGR) derived from a formula based on body surface area.
Results
Eligible patients underwent 93 right hepatectomies, 51 extended right hepatectomies, 4 left hepatectomies, and 5 extended left hepatectomies. Major complications occurred in 44 patients (28.7%) and liver failure in 6 patients (3.9%). Non-parametric regression showed that post-embolization FLR% correlated poorly with liver failure. ROC curves showed that DH and GR were good predictors of liver failure (AUC=0.80, p=0.011, and AUC=0.79, p=0.015) and modest predictors of major complications (AUC=0.66, p=0.002, and AUC=0.61, p=0.032). No patient with GR >2.66%/wk developed liver failure. The predictive value of measured GR was superior to eGR for liver failure (AUC 0.79 vs 0.58, p=0.046).
Conclusions
Both DH and GR after PVE are strong predictors of post-hepatectomy liver failure. GR may be a better guide for the optimum timing of liver resection than static volumetric measurements. Measured volumetrics correlated with outcomes better than estimated volumetrics.