BACKGROUNDChronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is thought to result from an accelerated decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV 1 ) over time. Yet it is possible that a normal decline in FEV 1 could also lead to COPD in persons whose maximally attained FEV 1 is less than population norms.
METHODSWe stratified participants in three independent cohorts (the Framingham Offspring Cohort, the Copenhagen City Heart Study, and the Lovelace Smokers Cohort) according to lung function (FEV 1 ≥80% or <80% of the predicted value) at cohort inception (mean age of patients, approximately 40 years) and the presence or absence of COPD at the last study visit. We then determined the rate of decline in FEV 1 over time among the participants according to their FEV 1 at cohort inception and COPD status at study end.
RESULTSAmong 657 persons who had an FEV 1 of less than 80% of the predicted value before 40 years of age, 174 (26%) had COPD after 22 years of observation, whereas among 2207 persons who had a baseline FEV 1 of at least 80% of the predicted value before 40 years of age, 158 (7%) had COPD after 22 years of observation (P<0.001). Approximately half the 332 persons with COPD at the end of the observation period had had a normal FEV 1 before 40 years of age and had a rapid decline in FEV 1 thereafter, with a mean (±SD) decline of 53±21 ml per year. The remaining half had had a low FEV 1 in early adulthood and a subsequent mean decline in FEV 1 of 27±18 ml per year (P<0.001), despite similar smoking exposure.
CONCLUSIONSOur study suggests that low FEV 1 in early adulthood is important in the genesis of COPD and that accelerated decline in FEV 1 is not an obligate feature of COPD. (Funded by an unrestricted grant from GlaxoSmithKline and others.) a bs tr ac t