2021
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2107.01210
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Early warning signals for critical transitions in complex systems

Abstract: In this review, we present the different measures of early warning signals that can indicate the occurrence of critical transitions in complex systems. We start with the mechanisms that trigger critical transitions, how they relate to warning signals and the methods used to detect early warning signals (EWS) for sudden transitions or tipping. We discuss briefly a few applications in real systems in this context, like transitions in ecology, climate and environment, medicine, epidemics, finance and engineering.… Show more

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“…The structural approach draws on methods in resilience theory for examining the stability of complex dynamic systems (Scheffer et al 2009;Scheffer et al 2018;George et al 2021). Three of the principal characteristics of stable systems are the uniformity of trajectories (Berghof et al 2019b;Iung et al 2020) such as growth rate and daily milk yield, periodicity of biorhythms (Scheibe et al 1999;Wagner et al 2021) such as body temperature and daily feeding activity, and complexity of networks (Asher et al 2009;Miller et al 2020;Heino et al 2021) such as social interactions.…”
Section: Measurement and Interpretation Of Animal-based Outcomesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The structural approach draws on methods in resilience theory for examining the stability of complex dynamic systems (Scheffer et al 2009;Scheffer et al 2018;George et al 2021). Three of the principal characteristics of stable systems are the uniformity of trajectories (Berghof et al 2019b;Iung et al 2020) such as growth rate and daily milk yield, periodicity of biorhythms (Scheibe et al 1999;Wagner et al 2021) such as body temperature and daily feeding activity, and complexity of networks (Asher et al 2009;Miller et al 2020;Heino et al 2021) such as social interactions.…”
Section: Measurement and Interpretation Of Animal-based Outcomesmentioning
confidence: 99%