Econometric Model of Rice Policy Based On Presidential Instruction

Sembiring, Surya Abadi; Hutauruk, Julia

doi:10.1088/1757-899x/300/1/012028

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…Pada dasarnya penggunaan teknologi akan meningkatkan hasil produksi maupun produktivitas pertanian. Studi Hutauruk (1996); Kako et al (1997) dan Hutauruk dan Sembiring (2002) dalam Sembiring (2011) menunjukkan trend teknologi berpengaruh positif dan secara statistik besaran parameter dugaannya berbeda nyata dengan nol. Studi Sembiring (2011) menghasilkan kecenderungan perubahan teknologi satu persen menyebabkan kenaikan produktifitas padi sebesar 0,010 persen.…”

Section: Hasil Dan Pembahasanunclassified

Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pembelian Pemerintah Terhadap Produksi Gabah Indonesia Berdasarkan Instruksi Presiden

Sembiring

Sihaloho

Sirait

2022

Agriust

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Tujuan studi menganalisis dampak luas panen, tren teknologi, rasio harga GKG dengan HPP GKG dan kebijakan harga pembelian pemerintah terhadap GKG dengan produksi gabah di Indonesia. Penelitian menggunakan data time series dari tahun 1987 sampai 2017. Metode analisis dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil studi, secara serempak variabel luas panen, tren teknologi, rasio harga GKG dengan HPP GKG dan kebijakan harga pembelian pemerintah mempengaruhi produksi gabah, sedangkan secara parsial, luas panen dan kebijakan harga pembelian pemerintah berpengaruh positip dan signifikan terhadap produksi gabah, sedangkan trend teknologi, rasio harga GKG dengan HPP GKG, berpengaruh positip tetapi tidak signifikan terhadap produksi gabah. Kenaikan luas panen satu persen menyebabkan produksi gabah naik 1,569 persen. Kecenderungan trend teknologi sebesar satu persen menyebabkan produksi gabah naik 0,012 persen. Kenaikan rasio harga GKG dengan HPP GKG satu persen menyebabkan produksi gabah naik 0,004 persen. Kebijakan harga pembelian pemerintah terhadap GKG menyebabkan produksi gabah naik sebesar 0,082 persen, sedangkan tanpa kebijakan produksi gabah Indonesia turun sebesar 0,082 persen.

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Section: Hasil Dan Pembahasanunclassified

Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pembelian Pemerintah Terhadap Produksi Gabah Indonesia Berdasarkan Instruksi Presiden

Sembiring

Sihaloho

Sirait

2022

Agriust

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“…Additionally, the estimated model can be tested statistically and be validated to ensure their adequacy which is an important feature for policy analyses. The econometric modelling approach as it applies to the agrifood sector can either be of a comprehensive form (Egwuma et al, 2016;Sembiring & Hutauruk, 2018;Yazdanshenas et al, 2011) which encompasses all of the demand, supply, price, and stock components of the market, or a single/multiple components of a market (Chandio et al, 2018;Paul et al, 2020;Yusuf et al, 2020). These variations in scope in addition to differences in included variables in a model, create a challenge for comparisons of studies in modelling agrifood systems.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These variations in scope in addition to differences in included variables in a model, create a challenge for comparisons of studies in modelling agrifood systems. For example, in a study on rice markets, Kozicka et al (2015) estimated their production variable as a single equation while Sembiring and Hutauruk, (2018) on the other hand, estimated area harvested and yield variables separately, so that their product is an identity for the production variable. However, both studies shared a commonality in the sense that rice production and paddy area harvested were price elastic.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Econometric Model for Nigeria’s Rice Market

Abdulsalam¹,

Shamsudin²,

Mohamed³

et al. 2021

JSSH

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A dynamic econometric model of Nigeria’s rice market was designed to serve as a base for future policy analyses. Using time-series data spanning 38 years, the model contains four structural equations representing paddy area harvested, paddy yield, per capita demand, and producer price variables. Estimates for these equations were obtained using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration approach. Results of the paddy production and yield sub-models showed that paddy area harvested, and paddy yield was price inelastic. Furthermore, the paddy area harvested responded favourably to technological advancement. For the demand sub-model, estimated own price and cross-price elasticities showed that rice has an inelastic demand response, with wheat being a substitute. A series of validation tests strengthened the reliability of the model for use as an empirical framework for forecasting and analysing the effects of changes in policies such as rice import tariff reforms on production, consumption, retail price, and imports.

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Implementation of fertilizer subsidy policy to fertilizer cost saving based on Indonesian minister of agriculture regulations

Sembiring,

Hutauruk,

Saragi

et al. 2024

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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The research aims to describe savings in variable fertilizer costs based on the Ministry of Agriculture. The research area was determined purposively, namely Tanjung Morawa and Hamparan Perak District, Deli Serdang Regency, North Sumatra Province. The population for the study is farmer groups based on the largest number of farmer groups in the research village, while the research sample is farmer groups. The number of respondents in Paluh Kurau and Wonososari Villages were 68 and 48 farmers respectively. Analysis method by calculating variable costs for subsidized fertilizer and non-subsidized fertilizer. The findings indicate that the highest price ratio in Minister of Agriculture Regulation Number 49 of 2020, for NPK in Paluh Kurau Village, while the lowest is for SP-36 fertilizer in Minister of Agriculture Regulation Number 41 of 2021 in Wonosari Village. The highest cost savings are Minister of Agriculture Regulation Number 49 of 2020 for NPK fertilizer in Paluh Kurau Village, while the lowest cost savings are Minister of Agriculture Regulation Number 41 of 2021 for ZA fertilizer. The largest average cost savings for five types of subsidized fertilizer in Minister of Agriculture Regulation No, 49 of 2020. Without the fertilizer policy, variable costs increase, and rice production declines.

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Econometric Model of Rice Policy Based On Presidential Instruction

Cited by 4 publications

References 9 publications

Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pembelian Pemerintah Terhadap Produksi Gabah Indonesia Berdasarkan Instruksi Presiden

Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pembelian Pemerintah Terhadap Produksi Gabah Indonesia Berdasarkan Instruksi Presiden

An Econometric Model for Nigeria’s Rice Market

Implementation of fertilizer subsidy policy to fertilizer cost saving based on Indonesian minister of agriculture regulations

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