2022
DOI: 10.1155/2022/9572105
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Economic Crisis Early Warning of Real Estate Companies Based on PSO-Optimized SVM

Abstract: For the possible economic crisis of real estate companies, by analyzing the shortcomings of support vector machine (SVM) model, after optimization with particle swarm optimization (PSO), the PSO-SVM model was established by changing economic condition parameters and using data to warn the real estate economic crisis. Then, this model is used to warn the economic capacity of four real estate companies in Beijing. The results show that this model can further predict and analyze the solvency index, operating abil… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…The feature extraction module is mainly composed of continuous convolution and pooling layers, and the processing (prediction) module is mainly composed of fully connected layers. However, a major disadvantage of CNN is overfitting and local overoptimization in which overfitting refers to the analysis results that are too closely or precisely corresponding to a particular data set and therefore may not be able to fit other data or reliably predict future observations [ 14 ]. Then the nonlinear SVM model can effectively avoid the disadvantages of CNN by introducing relaxation variables and finally get the optimal solution.…”
Section: Construction Methods Of Economic Security Early Warning Syst...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The feature extraction module is mainly composed of continuous convolution and pooling layers, and the processing (prediction) module is mainly composed of fully connected layers. However, a major disadvantage of CNN is overfitting and local overoptimization in which overfitting refers to the analysis results that are too closely or precisely corresponding to a particular data set and therefore may not be able to fit other data or reliably predict future observations [ 14 ]. Then the nonlinear SVM model can effectively avoid the disadvantages of CNN by introducing relaxation variables and finally get the optimal solution.…”
Section: Construction Methods Of Economic Security Early Warning Syst...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…e six independent variables in formula (1) can be calculated according to the financial statement data of listed companies. Financial crisis index W has no actual corresponding index in reality, so it is necessary to specify an alternative index [26][27][28][29][30][31]. After multiple weighing, the logistic function of the quick ratio is selected as the approximate alternative index of W, which is…”
Section: Financial Crisis Index Definition and Data Preparationmentioning
confidence: 99%