Economic Geography, Politics, and Policy

Rickard, Stephanie J.

doi:10.1146/annurev-polisci-050718-033649

Cited by 50 publications

(20 citation statements)

References 69 publications

(68 reference statements)

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“…Our more general takeaway is that the political consequences of economic change are heterogeneous across places and people. Within nations, political reactions to economic shocks will vary, since they affect communities in different ways depending on localities' industrial composition and consequent exposure (Rickard 2020). Yet such reactions also depend on how voters in affected communities interpret their local conditions.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting

2021

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Globalization and automation have contributed to deindustrialization and the loss of millions of manufacturing jobs, yielding important electoral implications across advanced democracies. Coupling insights from economic voting and social identity theory, we consider how different groups in society may construe manufacturing job losses in contrasting ways. We argue that deindustrialization threatens dominant group status, leading some white voters in affected localities to favor candidates they believe will address economic distress and defend racial hierarchy. Examining three US presidential elections, we find white voters were more likely to vote for Republican challengers where manufacturing layoffs were high, whereas Black voters in hard-hit localities were more likely to vote for Democrats. In survey data, white respondents, in contrast to people of color, associated local manufacturing job losses with obstacles to individual upward mobility and with broader American economic decline. Group-based identities help explain divergent political reactions to common economic shocks.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting

2021

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“…In recent years, advanced societies have been living with a revival of the rural-urban divide as a consequence of the growing inequality generated by economic agglomeration and globalization: urban forms are increasingly attracting population and skills, while peripheral (rural) areas are experiencing relative depletion of their human and economic capital (Rickard 2020;Martínez-Fernández et al 2012). Economic agglomeration has resulted in uneven development within countries and an increase in split between citizens living in cosmopolitan areas of growth and others in backwater areas of decline.…”

Section: Background and Argumentsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rural decline and satisfaction with democracy

Lago

2021

Acta Polit

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With the recent rise of populism in the developed world, the division between large cities and rural areas is in the spotlight as never before. This article explores the effect of the urban-rural divide on satisfaction with democracy in 27 European countries. I argue that individuals living in rural areas are less satisfied with the way democracy works, in particular, in those countries more affected by rural depopulation. Using data from approximately 35,000 respondents to the European Social Survey, I demonstrate that there is a "geography of discontent" when accounting for citizen satisfaction with democracy. Specifically, I find that individuals living in rural areas show lower levels of satisfaction than do those in urban areas. Moreover, there is an interaction between the geographical distribution of population and the area where a person lives. Individuals in rural areas tend to be less satisfied with democracy when the country exhibits a higher degree of urbanization. The hypotheses are examined through single-country linear regressions and multilevel models.

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“…Our work also draws connections between housing politics and realigned economies (Diamond 2016;Rickard 2020;Schonfeld Forthcoming). That coalitional rebalancing has altered politicians' preferences for their districts' class composition has become particularly meaningful as richer voters flock to cities.…”

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confidence: 93%

Why Parties Displace Their Voters: Gentrification, Coalitional Change, and the Demise of Public Housing

Chou

Dancygier

2021

Am Polit Sci Rev

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Across advanced economies, affordable housing shortages are pushing low-income voters out of cities. Left governments frequently exacerbate these shortages by eliminating public housing. Why does the Left pursue policies that displace its voters? We argue that the Left’s long-term rebalancing towards the middle class and away from an increasingly stigmatized “underclass” has significantly attenuated the trade-offs inherent in reducing affordable housing. Focusing on the UK, we demonstrate that by alienating low-income voters politically and reshuffling them across districts, housing crises have significant costs for Labour. Yet, drawing on interviews, we show that displacement is nonetheless compatible with electoral interests: the displaced make room for richer voters whom politicians believe will also support Labour. A quantitative analysis of Greater London’s 32 local authorities and 624 wards further documents trends in line with coalitional rebalancing. Taken together, our findings demonstrate that electoral foundations are key to understanding housing crises and gentrification.

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Economic Geography, Politics, and Policy

Cited by 50 publications

References 69 publications

Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting

Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting

Rural decline and satisfaction with democracy

Why Parties Displace Their Voters: Gentrification, Coalitional Change, and the Demise of Public Housing

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