Economic Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector of Punjab

Hanif, Uzma; Syed, Shabib Haider; Ahmad, Raza; Malik, Kauser A.

doi:10.30541/v49i4iipp.771-798

Cited by 63 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…Similarly in Pakistan, the scope of research linking climate change to agriculture is very restricted (TFCC, 2010). To date, studies on climate change and agriculture in Pakistan have been entirely limited to impacts of climate change on particular crops or sectors (Nomman and Schmitz, 2011;Hussain and Mudasser, 2007;Hanif et al, 2010;Ashfaq et al, 2011). None of the studies considered farmers' perspectives of climate change adaptation.…”

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confidence: 99%

Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan

Scheffran²,

et al. 2015

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Abstract. Climate change is a global environmental threat to all economic sectors, particularly the agricultural sector. Pakistan is one of the countries negatively affected by climate change due to its high exposure to extreme events and low adaptive capacity. In Pakistan, farmers are the primary stakeholders in agriculture and are more at risk due to climate vulnerability. Based on farm household data from 450 households collected from three districts in three agroecological zones in the Punjab province of Pakistan, this study examines how farmers perceive climate change and how they adapt their farming in response to perceived changes in climate. The results demonstrate that awareness of climate change is widespread throughout the area, and farm households make adjustments to adapt their agriculture in response to climatic change. Overall 58 % of the farm households adapted their farming to climate change. Changing crop varieties, changing planting dates, planting of shade trees and changing fertilizers were the main adaptation methods implemented by farm households in the study area. The results from the binary logistic model reveal that education, farm experience, household size, land area, tenancy status, ownership of a tube well, access to market information, information on weather forecasting and agricultural extension services all influence farmers' choices of adaptation measures. The results also indicate that adaptation to climate change is constrained by several factors such as lack of information, lack of money, resource constraints and shortage of irrigation water in the study area. Findings of the study suggest the need for greater investment in farmer education and improved institutional setup for climate change adaptation to improve farmers' wellbeing.

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Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan

Scheffran²,

et al. 2015

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“…More specifically, 1 0 C increase in Tm increases rice, sugarcane, cotton and wheat yield by 38.35 kgs/hect, 1152.59 kgs/hect, 1.64 kgs/hect and 92.1 kgs/hect respectively. Hanif, et al (2010) also found that increase in Rabi mean maximum temperature increased wheat yield in Punjab because wheat crop need heat for maturation. The results further show that maize yield is negatively related to Tm i.e.…”

Section: Climate Yield Relationship In Northern Irrigated Plain a (Zomentioning

confidence: 89%

Impact of Climate Change on Crops’ Productivity across Selected Agro-ecological Zones in Pakistan

Hussain¹,

Bangash²

2022

pdr

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This study estimates the impact of major climate variables (temperature and rainfall) on crops’ productivity across four agro-ecological zones of Pakistan. The crops selected were rice, wheat, maize, cotton and sugarcane. The study used panel data from 1991 to 2010 and applied panel least square techniques. The results revealed that the effect of climatic variables on crops yield varied across agro climatic zone due to differences in their climate conditions. Temperature and rainfall were the important determinants affecting crops productivity across agro climatic zones of Pakistan. Wheat productivity has been impacted more in Northern Irrigated Plain-a by average temperature and in Northern Dry Mountains by rainfall than the other zones. Rice productivity has been impacted more in Dry Mountains by average temperature and in the Indus Delta by rainfall than other zones. Sugarcane productivity has been impacted more by average temperature and rainfall in Indus Delta than zone IV. Maize productivity has been impacted more by average temperature and rainfall in Northern Dry Mountains than other zones. Finally the study recommends proper mitigative and adaptative strategies to enhance the positive and lessen the adverse impact of climate change on crops productivity across agro climatic zones of Pakistan. JEL Classifications: Q15, Q54, Q57 Keywords: Climate Change, Agro-ecological Zones, Rainfall, Temperature, Productivity

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“…Modified precipitation patterns result water scarcity and droughts and creates stress for crops and livestock. Storm, drought and floods, induced by climate change, are potential threats to humans and other living organisms [6]. Pakistan is highly vulnerable to climate variability and extremes.…”

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confidence: 99%

Determinants of farmers’ perception about climate change in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa-Pakistan

Khan

2019

PAB

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Climate change is a global environmental threat to almost all economic sectors, especially the agricultural sector and Pakistan is no exception to these threats. In Pakistan, farmers are the primary stakeholders in agriculture and are more at risk due to climatic vulnerability. This study, therefore examined farmers' perception about climate change across four agro-climatic zones of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa-Pakistan. A total of 210 farmers were selected through multistage random sampling technique and interviewed by using a well-designed interview schedule. The study results revealed that maize and wheat were the two main crops cultivated by 99.05% and 97.14% respondents, respectively. Among the total targeted respondents, 89.52% respondents reported an increase in temperature, whereas 79.05% observed decrease in rainfall in the province. The logistic regression analysis was carried out to assess factors influencing farmers' perceptions of climate change. The analysis revealed that 89.52%of farmers in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa had a perception that climate was changing. In this respect, age, educations, household size, farming experience and farm income were recorded having statistically significant effect on the probability of the respondents to perceive climate change. It is concluded that mean temperature was increased, while a significant decrease was noted in annual precipitation. Based on the study findings, it is recommended that policy makers should devise policies helping the farmers in coping with changing climate to avoid adverse effects of climatic pattern on overall crop yield. Agricultural extension and meteorological department should work together to forecast weather conditions and transfer the required information and mitigation strategies to the target farming community.

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Economic Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector of Punjab

Cited by 63 publications

References 24 publications

Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan

Farmers' perceptions of and adaptation strategies to climate change and their determinants: the case of Punjab province, Pakistan

Impact of Climate Change on Crops’ Productivity across Selected Agro-ecological Zones in Pakistan

Determinants of farmers’ perception about climate change in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa-Pakistan

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