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Nontechnical SummaryIn general, the distribution of functions and decision-making powers across levels of government varies only slowly in the course of time. According to Popitz (1927), the long-term trend seems to suggest an almost ever-expanding role of the central government in the course of social and economic development. However, recent developments in industrial and developing countries since the 1970s indicate increasing devolution of government functions and revenues to lower levels of government.This paper investigates the long-term trend and the underlying determinants of public sector centralization over time by taking a closer look at the experience of Germany from the creation of a unified state in 1871 to the present day. The following questions circumscribe the core of this examination. First, to what extent is it possible to detect a long-term trend of public sector growth and centralization in Germany's federal system? And, second, which are the factors determining this development, particularly after World War II?Both the institutional and the quantitative review of the German history in fact document a significant growth of the public sector in line with Wagner's "law", together with a stepwise increase in the role of the central government, particularly due to the expansion of the welfare state. However, similarly to earlier studies, there is no clear support for a continuous and unavoidable process of centralization in the public sector, but rather for some distinct developments caused by the distortionary effects of two world wars and changes in the political system. Whereas the German Kaiserreich was a highly federalized state with the state level constituting the most important level prior to World War I, the Weimar Republic clearly emerged as a highly centralized federal state. The rise of the central government since 1871 seems to have come to an end in the aftermath of World War II, being replaced by a system of complex interconnections and cooperative decision-making between the central and the state levels. A significant difference consists in the fact that whereas prior to 1950 competencies have been transferred particularly from the state to the central level, after 1950 the upward shift occurred from local to central, and particularly to state governments. Therefore, Popitz' claims have to be assessed against the historical and political background specific to the interwar period.The histo...