Economic Policy after the Transition to Democracy: A Synthesis

Morales, Juan Antonio

doi:10.1007/978-1-349-24642-7_1

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 3 publications

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“…Also case studies from different regions and historical time periods have elaborated on how economic crises engender liberalizing regime changes from within due to regime elites bowing down and reforming the regime when facing mobilized opposition (see, e.g. Morales & McMahon, 1996; Bratton & van de Walle, 1997; Berger & Spoerer, 2001). Our theoretical argument, presented in the next section, builds on, develops and generalizes these insights, specifying the conditions under which crises are more likely to spur different types of transitions from within.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic crisis and regime transitions from within

Djuve

Knutsen

2023

Journal of Peace Research

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We study how economic crises relate to the likelihood of experiencing regime changes ‘from within’; that is, transitions brought about, in part or fully, by actors in the incumbent regime. While historically common and influencing the political trajectories of many countries, such processes are far less studied than regime transitions forced by non-incumbent actors, such as coups or revolutions. We synthesize previous arguments and further specify how crises can incentivize leaders to change the regime from within due to two mechanisms. First, crises create windows of opportunity for leaders to pursue transitions they inherently prefer, for instance through self-coup. Second, crises sometimes allow opposition actors to mobilize and threaten the regime, forcing incumbents to liberalize. We leverage new data on timing and mode of regime change for more than 2000 regimes from about 200 countries, during the period 1789–2018. Employing different measurement strategies, estimators, control variables and other specification choices, we find fairly robust evidence that economic crises are related to transitions from within. However, when we distinguish between liberalizing and non-liberalizing guided transitions, we only find that economic crises systematically relate to the latter, suggesting that the window of opportunity mechanism may be especially pertinent in many contexts.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic crisis and regime transitions from within

Djuve

Knutsen

2023

Journal of Peace Research

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The World Bank and Policy Reform in Mexico and Argentina

Teichman

2004

Latin American Politics & Society

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This article examines the World Bank's role in the market policy reform experiences of Mexico and Argentina. It argues that while reform was driven by domestic elites, the bank played an important role, providing technical advice and financial support and helping to spread market reform ideas. The nature of the bank's involvement, however, differed substantially in the two countries because of their distinct political arrangements, histories, and geopolitical positions in regard to the United States. In the recent era of second-generation reforms, the World Bank's involvement in compensatory policy development has become more focused, although still more intense in Argentina than in Mexico. This involvement has important implications for the quality of democracy, insofar as the 1990s market reforms were formulated by insulated international policy networks unaccountable to the public. Recently, the bank has declared its commitment to involve civil society in its lending policies, a move that may have important implications for democratic development.

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Economic Policy after the Transition to Democracy: A Synthesis

Cited by 2 publications

References 3 publications

Economic crisis and regime transitions from within

Economic crisis and regime transitions from within

The World Bank and Policy Reform in Mexico and Argentina

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