Economics of Climate Change in the Arab World

Pigmeat projections: Consumption, food

“…Setting aside these caveats for the moment, the level of measured PoU in the conflict countries has been over three times the level in the rest of the MENA countries since 1999-2001, and has been rising gradually vis-à-vis the other countries in the region since 2003 ( Table 2. 10). This pattern in the evolution of the PoU in the conflict countries is consistent with it being partially driven by conflict, but it is also clear that they had relatively high levels of food insecurity even before conflict arose.…”

“…9 While all farming systems will become increasingly arid and water scarce, rain-fed systems are most at risk. 10 However, some areas may benefit from warmer temperatures which extend growing seasons and increase the productivity of winter crops. In Yemen, for example, where there are summer rains, an increase in average temperatures of 2ºC could be expected to extend the growing season by about six weeks .…”

Dynamic Effects of Drought on the U.S. Beef Supply Chain

“…Another important drought-relevant body of research includes studies of the impacts on developing country producers and consumers, who are affected differently by drought than economic agents in developed nations (Julca 2012; Kusunose and Lybbert 2014; Lawson and Kasirye 2013, Mwakaje 2013, Verner and Breisinger 2013). Additionally, research efforts that augment the aforementioned studies aim to assess the relationship between drought and conflict in developing countries (Maystadt 2014, Jia, 2013).…”

Cotton trade concentration

“…Under the assumptions of the stochastic analysis, the likelihood that prices will remain within the range is 90% in any given year. The likelihood that prices remain in this range throughout the decade is therefore much lower, at (0.90) 10 or around 35%. The likelihood that prices will fall outside the range (either above or below) at some point in the next decade is therefore 65%.…”