Efectos de la violencia sobre las tasas de emigración interna municipal en México: 1995-2015

Abstract

This article explores the relationship between the increase of violence in Mexico and the rising level of internal municipal emigration before, during, and after the so-called Mexican Drug War, which started in 2007. Through a linear regression and multinomial logistic models, it is shown that violence has had a positive and significant effect on the increase of internal emigration rates, particularly in municipalities with the highest internal emigration rates during the 2005-2010 period. In addition, the effect of violence tendsto be greater on female emigration rates compared to males. This indicates the increase of forced internal displacement in Mexico due to violence in recent years. However, more studies are needed to shed light on forced displacement and the effects of high violence levels on internal and international migration.

Are homicides and robberies associated with mortality due to COVID-19? Lessons from Urban Mexico

“…Although we use death data published by the end of July 2021, which allowed enough time for deaths from COVID-19 to be registered in the publicly available database, the uncertain reliability of the data from municipalities with very high crime rates controlled by drug cartels could be affecting our results. In addition, the people living in municipalities with high levels of violence were more likely to be internally displaced and may have left these violent areas during 2020 in search of protection and safety (Rodríguez Chávez, 2021;2022). It is also possible that criminal groups operated differently during the pandemic, which led to reductions in the risk of contagion, and, in turn, to reductions in mortality due to COVID-19.…”