1997
DOI: 10.1161/01.str.28.1.40
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Effect of Age, Birth Cohort, and Period of Death on Cerebrovascular Mortality in Spain, 1952 Through 1991

Abstract: The results suggest that a decrease in incidence coupled with an increase in survival may account for the observed decline in stroke mortality, but further studies on the Spanish population are needed to assess these findings. Although not yet definitive, there are signs of an increase in incidence among the more recent generations. If the decreasing period effect fails to offset this increase, future years may see a deceleration in the current decline in stroke mortality.

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Cited by 24 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…In most industrialized countries, downward trends of CVD mortality have been observed over the past few decades [2,6], with the decrease being most marked in Japan. Recent decreasing trends in CVD mortality have also been observed in newly industrialized or developing areas, in-Yu/Tse/Wong/Wong cluding Taiwan and Shanghai, China, Singapore and Spain [7][8][9][10]. The exact reason for this decline remains unknown.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In most industrialized countries, downward trends of CVD mortality have been observed over the past few decades [2,6], with the decrease being most marked in Japan. Recent decreasing trends in CVD mortality have also been observed in newly industrialized or developing areas, in-Yu/Tse/Wong/Wong cluding Taiwan and Shanghai, China, Singapore and Spain [7][8][9][10]. The exact reason for this decline remains unknown.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The results showed that the majority of the successive generations in Belgrade had an increasing risk of death from stroke in more recent cohorts, especially among females. The inverse cohort effect existed for several other populations in previous studies [6,7,8] and can be interpreted as a reduction in exposure to risk factors for stroke. Although the last two decades were a period of sharp socioeconomic crisis in Serbia, with a deep influence on the increase in general mortality [13], the major known risk factors for stroke likely had an important influence on changes in lifestyle within generations.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 60%
“…The age-period analysis of mortality time trends measures the component attributed to the birth cohort and the risk of dying in circumstances prevailing at the time of death, i.e., the period effect. These factors include the short-term effects of primary and secondary prevention, changes in diagnostic procedures and modifications in cause-of-death coding practices [6]. Conversely, the cohort effect relates to lifelong exposure to risk factors shared by the whole generation [7, 8].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Lithuanian hospitals since 1990 availability of qualified medical attention and better medical technologies were implemented and may explain a substantial improvement in case-fatality and subsequent declining period effect. These results were supported by another study [18] in which from the mid1980s stroke incidence, particularly among more recent generations, has ceased to decrease and/or has been increasing in other western European countries and New Zealand [19,20]. Possible reasons for this rise lie in increasing survival from diabetes and heart disease, the drift toward healthier diets, and decreasing prevalence of hypertension and smoking [21].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 64%