Effect of Saharan dust episodes on the accuracy of photovoltaic energy production forecast in Hungary (Central Europe)

Varga, György; Gresina, Fruzsina; Szeberényi, József; Gelencsér, András; Rostási, Ágnes

doi:10.1016/j.rser.2024.114289

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Cited by 5 publications

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Photovoltaic plant site selection considering dust soiling effects: A novel hybrid framework based on uncertainty and reliability with optimum cleaning schedule

Hosseini Dehshiri,

Firoozabadi

2025

Applied Energy

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Photovoltaic plant site selection considering dust soiling effects: A novel hybrid framework based on uncertainty and reliability with optimum cleaning schedule

Hosseini Dehshiri,

Firoozabadi

2025

Applied Energy

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A szaharai porviharos események hatása a hazai fotovoltaikus energiatermelésre

Rostási,

Varga,

Gresina

et al. 2024

XVI. Magyar Aeroszol Konferencia

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Ultra-short-term Single-step Photovoltaic Power Prediction based on VMD-Attention-BiLSTM Combined Model

Yu,

Song

2024

Preprint

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Research on photovoltaic systems (PV) power prediction contributes to optimizing configurations, responding promptly to emergencies, reducing costs, and maintaining long-term system stability. This study proposes a VMD-Attention-BiLSTM model for predicting ultra-short-term photovoltaic power to further enhance prediction performance. Firstly, VMD decomposes historical photovoltaic power data into multiple sub-sequences with different frequencies, treating each sub-sequence as a separate input variable for data expansion. Secondly, the Attention mechanism calculates the correlation coefficients between variables and assigns corresponding weights based on the magnitude of the correlation coefficients between each input variable and the output variable. Finally, the BiLSTM model adopts a dual-layer LSTM structure to more accurately extract features. Experimental results show that compared to various advanced deep learning methods, the MAE of the VMD-Attention-BiLSTM combined model improves by at least 29%.

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Effect of Saharan dust episodes on the accuracy of photovoltaic energy production forecast in Hungary (Central Europe)

Cited by 5 publications

References 61 publications

Photovoltaic plant site selection considering dust soiling effects: A novel hybrid framework based on uncertainty and reliability with optimum cleaning schedule

Photovoltaic plant site selection considering dust soiling effects: A novel hybrid framework based on uncertainty and reliability with optimum cleaning schedule

A szaharai porviharos események hatása a hazai fotovoltaikus energiatermelésre

Ultra-short-term Single-step Photovoltaic Power Prediction based on VMD-Attention-BiLSTM Combined Model

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